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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473d | dzsibenaja | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,389 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 473d | poligott | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,984 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 473d | esac | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,378 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 473d | ChermziKim | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,104 | −$24 −0.6% | — |
| 473d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,355 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 473d | dazraf | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,394 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 473d | chenmocm2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | −$414 −15% | — |
| 473d | AZwater2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,015 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 473d | HanSolo244 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,091 | −$109 −1.0% | — |
| 473d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $19,858 | +$909 +4.6% | 20 | |
| 474d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 474d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | −$8 −0.6% | — | |
| 474d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,307 | −$14 −0.6% | — | |
| 474d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo100¢ | $1,317 | −$7 −0.5% | — | |
| 474d | Trump2028 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,023 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 474d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$7 −0.6% | — | |
| 474d | SaylorMoon | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | −$15 −0.6% | — |
| 474d | BowlOfPunch | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,373 | +$32 +0.4% | 20 |
| 474d | zeus76 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,386 | +$12 +0.5% | 20 |
| 474d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$8 −0.8% | — | |
| 475d | alwaysOn | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 |
| 475d | hhhizli | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 475d | CanadianGoose3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,328 | +$128 +1.2% | 20 |
| 475d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,489 | +$38 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 475d | CanadianGoose | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,726 | −$58 −1.0% | — |
| 475d | Niseko | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,460 | −$85 −1.0% | — |
| 475d | Jerzy2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,455 | −$45 −1.0% | — |
| 475d | MicroShift | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,029 | −$152 −1.0% | — |
| 476d | bluetiger42 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,882 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 476d | Attractive-TrowelNew account | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 476d | Xmr2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,393 | −$610 −5.4% | — |
| 476d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $41,914 | +$949 +2.3% | 20 | |
| 476d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,293 | −$23 −1.0% | — | |
| 476d | borderx | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 476d | tardiss | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$21 −1.8% | — |
| 476d | denizz11 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $47,935 | −$2,238 −4.7% | — |
| 477d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,038 | −$510 −7.2% | — | |
| 477d | mavis-523 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,908 | −$39 −2.0% | — |
| 477d | jjumon2 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,818 | −$202 −1.9% | — |
| 477d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $17,657 | +$814 +4.6% | 20 | |
| 477d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,804 | +$74 +1.9% | 20 | |
| 477d | Madmax1-812 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 478d | A.lattouf | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | −$23 −1.8% | — |
| 478d | 1mperator172 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,311 | +$769 +14% | 20 |
| 478d | Sorlon | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes2¢ → 0¢ | $2,265 | +$2,265 +100% | — |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $19,027 | +$4,585 +24% | 20 | |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$60 −5.3% | — | |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,390 | +$111 +4.6% | 20 | |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$95 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 478d | Tothesun | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$141 −9.4% | — |
| 478d | Logan. | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,848 | −$152 −8.2% | — |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | −$127 −7.1% | — | |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,177 | −$863 −12% | — | |
| 478d | Bukaj2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,999 | +$284 +7.1% | 20 |
| 478d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C294 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $8,007 | −$1,166 −15% | — |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,204 | +$112 +5.1% | 20 | |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$55 +3.3% | 20 | |
| 478d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$49 −3.6% | — | |
| 478d | vchch | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$39 −3.6% | — |
| 478d | Sighrus | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$160 +3.2% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time between December 2, 2024, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Khamenei has remained Supreme Leader for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of Iran, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.