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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 1 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 14 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 7 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 2 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 3 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 4 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d |  XiJinpingCexo | March 14 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,186 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | Fresh-SchoolNew account | March 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,219 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 230d | jkrollingdice | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,799 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d |  beenraping | March 14 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,719 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 230d |  TylerTurden2 fills | March 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,235 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 230d | C03B | March 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,535 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | beenraping | March 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,719 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | beenraping | March 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,518 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | TylerTurden | March 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,541 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | TylerTurden2 fills | March 1 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,933 | +$22 +0.8% | 4 |
| 230d | kkdsj2 fills | March 1 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,026 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | kkdsj | March 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | 1115678927 | March 2 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,045 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 230d |  ccfos420 | February 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,626 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | nghiapham | February 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,804 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 230d | QEDDD5 fills | March 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $75,321 | +$252 +0.3% | 4 |
| 230d | letsfackingo | March 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 230d | QEDDD2 fills | March 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,870 | +$44 +1.1% | 4 |
| 230d | QEDDD | March 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,431 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 230d | QEDDD | March 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,370 | +$15 +0.4% | 4 |
| 230d |  bravelittleguy | March 4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 230d |  Chims | March 1 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | +$20 +1.1% | 4 |
| 230d |  Casdifer | February 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,339 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 230d | Casdifer | March 1 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$31 +1.4% | 4 |
| 230d | Casdifer | March 2 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,598 | +$147 +2.2% | 4 |
| 230d | Casdifer | March 3 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,046 | +$101 +3.3% | 4 |
| 230d |  pup1 | March 3 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$65 +3.3% | 4 |
| 230d |  akimbogod | March 14 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,323 | +$77 +3.3% | 4 |
| 230d |  Robbb | March 7 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,236 | +$91 +4.1% | 4 |
| 230d | akimbogod | March 1 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$23 +1.9% | 4 |
| 230d | sbimbg | February 28 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,330 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 230d | deellama | February 28 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,212 | −$33 −0.8% | — |
| 230d | Oxford-Alpha-Fund | March 1 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,480 | +$231 +3.1% | 4 |
| 230d | Oxford-Alpha-Fund | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$10 +0.8% | 4 |
| 230d | geopolitico | March 1 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,506 | −$98 −2.8% | — |
| 230d | LukiB | March 2 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,388 | +$178 +4.1% | 4 |
| 230d | LukiB | March 1 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,636 | +$114 +2.5% | 4 |
| 230d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,458 | +$72 +1.3% | 4 |
| 230d |  mr.ozi2 fills | March 4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,936 | +$299 +5.0% | 4 |
| 230d | mr.ozi2 fills | March 7 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,304 | +$256 +4.8% | 4 |
| 230d | mr.ozi2 fills | March 14 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,422 | +$542 +7.3% | 4 |
| 230d | InfraPotato | March 2 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | −$71 −4.8% | — |
| 230d | Avinoni | March 1 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | −$57 −3.9% | — |
| 230d | TraderQuant2 fills | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,730 | +$37 +0.5% | 4 |
| 230d | Skinny-Class | March 1 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | −$23 −1.7% | — |
| 230d | InfraPotato | March 2 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,524 | +$19 +1.2% | 4 |
| 230d | printerG | March 1 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,221 | +$45 +2.0% | 4 |
| 230d | 1115678927 | March 2 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | +$43 +2.1% | 4 |
| 230d |  MrManning | March 1 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$37 +3.0% | 4 |
| 230d | soganyok | March 14 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,949 | +$105 +3.5% | 4 |
| 230d | hitjnn214 | February 28 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$25 +2.4% | 4 |
| 230d | mr.ozi | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$14 +1.4% | 4 |
| 230d | Filthy-Entry | February 28 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 230d | Filthy-Entry | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 230d | DonaldinhoTrumpito | March 2 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,224 | +$59 +2.6% | 4 |
| 230d | geopolitico | March 1 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,568 | +$36 +1.0% | 4 |
| 230d | Fresh-SchoolNew account | March 7 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$68 +5.9% | 6 |
| 230d | Generator | March 2 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$79 +7.5% | 4 |
| 230d | SMJKC | February 28 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$50 +3.1% | 4 |
| 230d | jakcpual | February 28 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,119 | +$96 +3.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Ali Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 1 means the market gives it about 0%.