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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +8 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 666d | Ordon | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,152 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 666d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 667d | Ordon | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,938 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 667d | russell110320 | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 4 |
| 667d | BowlOfPunch | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$57 +4.7% | 4 |
| 667d |  MMousse2 fills | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,737 | +$699 +26% | 4 |
| 668d |  ihatemyself | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$303 −25% | — |
| 669d | fundamentalmisunderstanding | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$403 +33% | 4 |
| 676d |  XiJinPing-478 | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,463 | −$1,463 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the suspected shooter of United Healthcare CEO, Luigi Mangione, is extradited to the state of New York by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". "Extradited" to New York means Luigi Mangione enters the territory of New York state while in custody. If he is flown to or over New York, he must set foot on the ground within the state for it to count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official government sources from the relevant extraditing and receiving institutions, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.