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Polymarket wallet 0x5d104bc6dfb2d04da631424cb9c9a8a077f908f4 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Thirsty-Shore
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 95 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida GatorsSettled - ready to redeem | Georgia Bulldogs | 44 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| France vs. England: Team to WinSettled - ready to redeem | France | 77 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92d | France vs. England: Team to Win | BuyFrance65¢ | $51 |
| 110d | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BuyYes19¢ | $26 |
| 121d | Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BuyYes46¢ | $10 |
| 122d | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BuyYes26¢ | $20 |
| 122d | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BuyYes18¢ | $15 |
| 283d | Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators | BuyGeorgia Bulldogs24¢ | $11 |
| 676d | Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025? | BuyNo31¢ | $10 |
| 679d | Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims? | BuyYes46¢ | $25 |
| 679d | No Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Sunday? | SellNo4¢ | $4 |
| 679d | No Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Sunday? | BuyNo22¢ | $20 |
| 681d | Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | BuyNo21¢ | $20 |
| 682d | World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | SellDing36¢ | $1 |
| 682d | World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | BuyDing37¢ | $1 |
| 682d | World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | SellDing36¢ | $76 |
| 691d | World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | SellDing53¢ | $106 |
| 692d | World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | BuyDing24¢ | $99 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.