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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Arrest by Sunday | 100% | +9 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wednesday | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thursday | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friday | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saturday | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sunday | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 678d | spark1 | No Arrest by Sunday | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,779 | +$198 +11% | 23 |
| 678d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Saturday | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,408 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 678d | Saturday | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,961 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 678d | Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | Saturday | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,873 | +$24 +0.4% | 20 |
| 679d | SupremeRussian | No Arrest by Sunday | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,658 | +$318 +8.7% | 21 |
| 680d | longtern | Thursday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,296 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 680d | Thursday | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,564 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 680d | Thursday | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$47 −4.3% | — | |
| 681d | Wednesday | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,001 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 681d | Thursday | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$116 +11% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the date of Brian Thompson Perp's arrest.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Arrest by Sunday means the market gives it about 100%.