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Polymarket wallet 0x54d792883e7388f5e339777fee04ee3f9199e4cf · on Polymarket since Dec 6, 2024 · also shown as Twin-Draft
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $95 | +$37 +64% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$2 +3.1% |
| X and Truth Social merger announced before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $24 | +$4 +18% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 56¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$4 +79% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Luigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 370 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$185 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.