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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Mutharika | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lazarus Chakwera | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Atupele Muluzi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dalitso Kabame | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Enoch Chihana | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joyce Banda | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387d | MariaLo2 fills | Peter Mutharika | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,316 | +$48 +0.7% | 10 |
| 387d | Peter Mutharika | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,675 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 388d | Slight-RadiosondeNew account | Peter Mutharika | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$26 +0.9% | 10 |
| 389d | MariaLo | Lazarus Chakwera | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 10 |
| 390d | Atupele Muluzi | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 390d | muddle | Peter Mutharika | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$170 +13% | 10 |
| 392d | aff3 | Lazarus Chakwera | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | +$308 +16% | 10 |
| 392d | fimbonet | Lazarus Chakwera | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,007 | +$1,007 +100% | — |
| 395d | Pavelevel6 fills | Peter Mutharika | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,515 | +$146 +0.9% | 10 |
| 395d | tkmonie | Peter Mutharika | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,181 | −$49 −2.2% | — |
| 395d | Lazarus Chakwera | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,650 | −$100 −2.1% | — | |
| 395d | Pavelevel2 fills | Lazarus Chakwera | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,224 | +$40 +0.9% | 10 |
| 395d | Peter Mutharika | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,855 | +$476 +8.1% | 10 | |
| 395d | Lazarus Chakwera | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,480 | +$474 +8.6% | 10 | |
| 396d | Joyce Banda | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,203 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 396d | Africandragon41 | Enoch Chihana | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,568 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 396d | Africandragon41 | Dalitso Kabame | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,486 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 396d | Africandragon41 | Joyce Banda | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,276 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 495d | Peter Mutharika | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | −$562 −33% | — | |
| 498d | Lazarus Chakwera | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$1,308 +115% | 10 |
General elections are scheduled to take place in Malawi on September 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ivorian government, specifically the Independent Electoral Commission (Commission Électorale Indépendante, CEI) (https://www.cei.ci/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Peter Mutharika means the market gives it about 100%.