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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1650 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1550 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1700 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1625 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1575 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1400 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1450 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d |  RememberAmalek2 fills | 1600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,876 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 199d |  Debosnys | 1600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,747 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d |  fElon | 1700 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | Debosnys | 1650 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,792 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 201d | Debosnys | 1625 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 202d |  iForgor2 fills | 1600 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,218 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 202d | Nobody23041 | 1650 | SellNo100¢ | $1,047 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 203d |  kl1v | 1550 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,499 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 204d |  Infringe | 1575 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,743 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 204d | fElon2 fills | 1650 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,246 | +$115 +3.5% | 4 |
| 204d | fElon2 fills | 1700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,872 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 204d | fElon | 1550 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,011 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 204d | Michael5289 | 1500 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,521 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 204d | Michael5289 | 1650 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 204d | kl1v | 1600 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,777 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 204d | kl1v | 1625 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 204d | kl1v | 1550 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$27 +1.1% | 4 |
| 204d | kl1v | 1650 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 204d | Instructive-Friction | 1600 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$38 +3.1% | 4 |
| 204d | Y4n4pol | 1600 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | −$249 −11% | — |
| 205d | bjelsh89 | 1600 | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,382 | +$1,382 +100% | — |
| 210d | PedroGonzales | 1550 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$165 +12% | 4 |
| 211d |  tsybka2 fills | 1400 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,336 | +$163 +3.8% | 4 |
| 211d | tsybka | 1450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,792 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 211d | Miojinho | 1550 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | +$514 +31% | 4 |
| 211d |  Hakei.v2 | 1450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,829 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 211d |  casus | 1450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,722 | +$33 +0.5% | 4 |
| 211d | fElon | 1450 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$17 +0.9% | 4 |
| 212d | Circular-Wifi2 fills | 1450 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | +$32 +1.0% | 4 |
| 212d | Downright-Meat | 1500 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$96 +4.8% | 4 |
| 215d | PedroGonzales | 1450 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$48 +1.3% | 4 |
| 215d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 1650 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$134 +10% | 4 |
| 215d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 1600 | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$1,653 +84% | 4 |
| 216d | Circular-Wifi | 1500 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$28 +1.8% | 4 |
| 218d | LisaTran1980 | 1650 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$589 +56% | 4 |
| 224d | Y4n4pol | 1400 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | +$74 +5.3% | 4 |
| 224d | Y4n4pol | 1450 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,246 | +$249 +11% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 1600 means the market gives it about 0%.