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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donavan McKinney | 100% | +12 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shri Thanedar | 0% | −13 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shelby Campbell | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anthony Carbonaro | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nazmul Hassan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | dsjkfbc | Donavan McKinney | SellYes>99¢ | $1,410 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | Goyst | Shri Thanedar | SellNo>99¢ | $2,642 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | SellNo>99¢ | $1,160 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $42,027 | +$4,671 +11% | 13 | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $34,254 | +$4,744 +14% | 13 | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes100¢ | $1,078 | +$5 +0.5% | 10 | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$50 +3.0% | 10 | |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$63 +4.3% | 10 | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | −$95 −5.7% | — | |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$77 −7.5% | — | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$86 −7.5% | — | |
| 73d | Prize-Ringworm | Donavan McKinney | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | −$168 −9.2% | — |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,984 | −$694 −8.7% | — | |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$90 −6.4% | — | |
| 73d | poptree | Donavan McKinney | BuyNo6¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 11 |
| 73d | Arman2 | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$128 +4.3% | 10 |
| 73d | poptree2 fills | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,862 | +$682 +6.9% | 10 |
| 73d | ponosronaldo | Shri Thanedar | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$114 −11% | — |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,072 | −$491 −9.7% | — | |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $33,526 | +$5,034 +15% | 13 | |
| 73d | poptree | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,196 | +$217 +9.9% | 10 |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | −$251 −11% | — | |
| 73d | Illustrious-Jewelry3 fills | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $14,612 | +$1,331 +9.1% | 10 |
| 73d | flawfence | Donavan McKinney | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,981 | −$259 −8.7% | — |
| 73d | flawfence2 fills | Shri Thanedar | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $16,814 | −$1,961 −12% | — |
| 73d | coali102 fills | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $21,680 | +$3,661 +17% | 12 |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | −$241 −17% | — | |
| 73d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | Donavan McKinney | SellNo15¢ → 0¢ | $4,926 | +$4,926 +100% | — |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $8,342 | −$8,342 −100% | 24 | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $21,000 | −$4,000 −19% | — | |
| 73d | InsiderrrZ | Donavan McKinney | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 16 |
| 73d | coali103 fills | Shri Thanedar | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $19,260 | −$19,260 −100% | 29 |
| 73d | coali10 | Donavan McKinney | BuyNo18¢ → 0¢ | $3,943 | −$3,943 −100% | 18 |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$316 +18% | 10 | |
| 73d | operationcastle | Donavan McKinney | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $3,327 | −$3,327 −100% | 18 |
| 73d | operationcastle | Shri Thanedar | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $3,518 | −$3,518 −100% | 19 |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$122 +12% | 10 | |
| 73d | pantomime | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | +$460 +33% | 10 |
| 73d | pantomime | Donavan McKinney | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,883 | −$3,883 −100% | 13 |
| 73d | Ckyun | Donavan McKinney | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,671 | −$1,053 −63% | — |
| 73d | Athletic-Manager | Donavan McKinney | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | −$993 −65% | — |
| 73d | SnowLover7 | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $2,707 | +$2,122 +78% | 10 |
| 73d | SlavaUkraini2 fills | Shri Thanedar | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $61,026 | −$61,026 −100% | 10 |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,591 | −$1,591 −100% | 10 | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,803 | −$724 −19% | — | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$127 −11% | — | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $8,628 | −$624 −7.2% | — | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,226 | −$308 −7.3% | — | |
| 73d | SlavaUkraini | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $49,228 | +$1,005 +2.0% | 10 |
| 73d | General-Pathogenesis | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$196 +7.5% | 10 |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$210 +7.5% | 10 | |
| 73d | Kevindoto | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,877 | +$431 +11% | 10 |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$109 +9.9% | 10 | |
| 73d | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 10 | |
| 73d | nonkenny90 | Shri Thanedar | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | +$190 +11% | 10 |
| 73d | nonkenny90 | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$120 +11% | 10 |
| 73d | Ludoeagle3 fills | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,750 | +$750 +11% | 10 |
| 73d | Hud1nis | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,273 | +$364 +11% | 10 |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$186 +12% | 10 | |
| 73d | Donavan McKinney | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | +$249 +12% | 10 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donavan McKinney means the market gives it about 100%.