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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Paul Skenes | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tarik Skubal | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hunter Brown | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Garrett Crochet | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Freddy Peralta | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Fried | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Abbott | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nick Pivetta | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bryan Woo | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jacob deGrom | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavin Williams | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Rodón | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthew Boyd | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Logan Webb | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brayan Bello | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Ryan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Merrill Kelly | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Clay Holmes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Soriano | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Wacha | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bryce Elder | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chad Patrick | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taj Bradley | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeffrey Springs | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Seth Lugo | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dylan Cease | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reynaldo López | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emerson Hancock | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nolan McLean | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Connelly Early | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cam Schlittler | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Sale | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AG | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AH | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AJ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AN | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AO | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AP | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AQ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AR | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AS | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AT | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AU | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AV | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AW | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player AX | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d |  CoinTrick | Seth Lugo | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,201 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 92d |  andy29 | Shohei Ohtani | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | +$257 +10% | 4 |
| 118d | braveyCPDLCnx60 fills | Jeffrey Springs | SellNo>99¢ | $179,358 | −$739 −0.4% | — |
| 118d | prouda0luCrpne60 fills | Jeffrey Springs | SellNo>99¢ | $177,933 | −$732 −0.4% | — |
| 118d | proudPBpeEaglX62 fills | Jeffrey Springs | SellNo>99¢ | $184,384 | −$755 −0.4% | — |
| 118d | braveyCPDLCnx60 fills | Jeffrey Springs | BuyNo>99¢ | $180,179 | +$361 +0.2% | 4 |
| 118d | prouda0luCrpne60 fills | Jeffrey Springs | BuyNo>99¢ | $179,600 | +$360 +0.2% | 4 |
| 118d | proudPBpeEaglX62 fills | Jeffrey Springs | BuyNo>99¢ | $185,264 | +$371 +0.2% | 4 |
| 118d | prouda0luCrpne24 fills | Bryan Woo | SellNo>99¢ | $71,302 | −$288 −0.4% | — |
| 118d | braveyCPDLCnx25 fills | Bryan Woo | SellNo>99¢ | $74,768 | −$297 −0.4% | — |
| 118d | proudPBpeEaglX25 fills | Bryan Woo | SellNo>99¢ | $74,165 | −$295 −0.4% | — |
| 118d | braveyCPDLCnx20 fills | Bryan Woo | BuyNo>99¢ | $60,026 | +$120 +0.2% | 4 |
| 118d | prouda0luCrpne20 fills | Bryan Woo | BuyNo>99¢ | $59,687 | +$120 +0.2% | 4 |
| 118d | proudPBpeEaglX20 fills | Bryan Woo | BuyNo>99¢ | $59,403 | +$119 +0.2% | 4 |
Dr.PNL404 sharesThis market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jacob Misiorowski means the market gives it about 100%.