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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 598d | ggdfgd2 fills | NATO article 5 before March? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,837 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 598d | ggdfgd2 fills | NATO article 5 before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,840 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 599d | longdated-poli | NATO article 5 before March? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,171 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 602d | Fredby | NATO article 5 before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 603d | fg024 | NATO article 5 before March? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 603d | fg024 | NATO article 5 before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 607d |  Rasalgethi | NATO article 5 before March? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,728 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 608d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | NATO article 5 before March? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,991 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 619d | longdated-poli | NATO article 5 before March? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,714 | +$30 +1.1% | 4 |
| 622d |  DegenerateJanet3 fills | NATO article 5 before March? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,687 | +$67 +1.8% | 4 |
| 624d |  beigesun | NATO article 5 before March? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$21 −2.0% | — |
| 628d | ziggaBOBl | NATO article 5 before March? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$32 −2.8% | — |
| 654d |  SPMontreal | NATO article 5 before March? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 4 |
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between December 3, 2024, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
