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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 297d |  GobiDesertCanoePro | NATO article 5 in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 297d |  VegemiteLover | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,586 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 297d |  AGPamBondi | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,885 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 297d | 0xB16B00B5 | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 301d |  Arlette2 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,904 | +$96 +1.6% | 4 |
| 306d | GobiDesertCanoePro2 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,652 | +$186 +2.8% | 4 |
| 320d | f2hf84hg52h52 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,946 | +$74 +1.5% | 4 |
| 347d |  kekkone | NATO article 5 in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$36 −3.5% | — |
| 350d |  Goopster2 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,651 | −$177 −3.8% | — |
| 352d | Goopster2 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,762 | +$199 +4.2% | 4 |
| 370d |  NoClueAtAll | NATO article 5 in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | −$73 −4.5% | — |
| 371d |  0xbadbeef2 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,200 | +$210 +3.4% | 4 |
| 379d | tutrucks3 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,734 | −$210 −5.6% | — |
| 380d | dwFqcd4Z3 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,419 | +$802 +5.6% | 4 |
| 381d | NoClueAtAll | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$110 +6.9% | 4 |
| 381d |  peggysage | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,675 | +$325 +7.0% | 4 |
| 381d | SaylorMoon | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,901 | +$455 +9.3% | 4 |
| 382d |  Big.Chungus | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,745 | +$255 +9.3% | 4 |
| 400d | tutrucks2 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,443 | +$506 +6.8% | 4 |
| 401d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,905 | −$665 −7.5% | — |
| 402d |  mombil | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$83 +6.5% | 4 |
| 403d | NeH | NATO article 5 in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,829 | −$118 −4.2% | — |
| 408d | DEGENKHAN | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | +$75 +4.2% | 4 |
| 471d | NeH2 fills | NATO article 5 in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$146 +5.8% | 4 |
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.