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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 24, 2026 | 100% | +89 pts | — | 90¢ · >99¢ (10¢) | — | — |
| July 27, 2026 | 100% | +67 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| July 30, 2026 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| August 9, 2026 | 100% | +34 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | — |
| August 12, 2026 | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| August 3, 2026 | 100% | +47 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| July 20, 2026 | 0% | −29 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| August 6, 2026 | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| July 13, 2026 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84d |  abhionpoly | July 27, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,695 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 84d | abhionpoly | July 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,740 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 84d |  x.o | July 24, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,902 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 84d |  ithinkthisisgod | July 27, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,128 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 84d |  CosmicCedar | July 24, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,807 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 84d | CosmicCedar | July 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$15 +1.2% | 4 |
| 84d | CosmicCedar | July 27, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,101 | +$60 +1.9% | 4 |
| 84d | lorry3122 | July 24, 2026 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$261 +18% | 4 |
| 85d | yougotme | August 12, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,297 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 85d | dip. | July 24, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | +$42 +2.1% | 4 |
| 87d |  tetrase | August 9, 2026 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | +$240 +13% | 4 |
| 95d | Palace8709 | July 13, 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for July 24, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.
