| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 4,206 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $3,596 | +$610 +20% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,916 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $2,464 | +$48 +2.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,600 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,550 | +$37 +2.5% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,600 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,538 | +$21 +1.4% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,611 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $1,522 | +$109 +7.7% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,500 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $1,480 | +$177 +14% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,376 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $1,292 | +$60 +4.8% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,300 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $1,215 | +$178 +17% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,639 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $1,156 | −$77 −6.2% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 977 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $947 | +$42 +4.7% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 993 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $909 | +$119 +15% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 917 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $839 | +$102 +14% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 882 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $819 | +$11 +1.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 863 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $815 | +$111 +16% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 2,239 | 57¢ → 35¢ | $793 | −$481 −38% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 1,200 | 76¢ → 61¢ | $726 | −$184 −20% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 767 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $723 | +$53 +7.9% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 79d | Anthropic | 794 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $722 | +$18 +2.6% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | Yes | 900 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $634 | −$36 −5.3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 648 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $573 | +$76 +15% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 700 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $528 | +$49 +10% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 670 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $526 | +$53 +11% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 580 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $513 | +$27 +5.6% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 663 | 58¢ → 76¢ | $501 | +$119 +31% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 525 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $494 | +$27 +5.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $490 | +$31 +6.8% |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 474 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $457 | +$9 +1.9% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 52¢ → 72¢ | $429 | +$120 +39% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,230 | 74¢ → 34¢ | $424 | −$482 −53% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 400 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $397 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 400 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $392 | +$22 +5.8% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $376 | +$13 +3.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $374 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 400 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $374 | +$6 +1.6% |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $370 | +$7 +2.0% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 500 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $356 | −$2 −0.6% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 353 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $340 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $328 | +$26 +8.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $328 | +$58 +21% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 318 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $302 | +$34 +13% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 302 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $294 | +$7 +2.4% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $283 | +$86 +44% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$5 +1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $280 | −$2 −0.7% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $263 | +$6 +2.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 71¢ → 83¢ | $248 | +$36 +17% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 300 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $244 | +$22 +10% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 255 | 72¢ → 93¢ | $238 | +$54 +29% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 816 | 18¢ → 27¢ | $224 | +$75 +50% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 52¢ → 69¢ | $207 | +$51 +33% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 213 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $204 | +$10 +5.0% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | No | 250 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $201 | +$5 +2.4% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 215 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $201 | +$33 +19% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 200 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $195 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$2 +0.8% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $191 | −$2 −0.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $188 | +$23 +14% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$34 +22% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $186 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$13 +7.6% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 190 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $185 | +$6 +3.3% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 188 | 60¢ → 98¢ | $183 | +$72 +64% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 190 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $183 | +$9 +5.2% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$42 +30% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $175 | −$7 −3.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $174 | +$9 +5.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $172 | +$4 +2.3% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 176 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $171 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $171 | +$5 +3.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $168 | +$19 +13% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $163 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $157 | −$11 −6.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 247 | 46¢ → 63¢ | $156 | +$43 +38% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 177 | 62¢ → 88¢ | $155 | +$45 +41% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 77¢ → 73¢ | $145 | −$9 −5.8% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 189 | 66¢ → 76¢ | $144 | +$19 +15% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $142 | +$25 +21% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Yamal | 300 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $141 | +$6 +4.4% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 200 | 82¢ → 66¢ | $131 | −$34 −21% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 128 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $123 | +$4 +3.7% |
| Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 128 | 97¢ → 93¢ | $118 | −$5 −4.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 39¢ → 24¢ | $118 | −$76 −39% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 126 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $117 | +$8 +7.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 57¢ → 12¢ | $115 | −$456 −80% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 115 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $111 | +$4 +3.4% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 102 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $101 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 101 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $100 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$10 +12% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 43¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$45 +103% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 94 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $87 | +$3 +3.8% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 61¢ → 87¢ | $87 | +$26 +43% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 107 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $83 | −$8 −8.3% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$4 +4.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 400 | 87¢ → 21¢ | $82 | −$264 −76% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 111 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $80 | +$11 +16% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | Yes | 300 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $79 | −$15 −16% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 104 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $79 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $77 | +$9 +13% |
