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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 84% | −1 pts | +6 pts | 82¢ · 85¢ (3¢) | — | in 88d |
| LSU | 14% | −4 pts | −26 pts | 6¢ · 22¢ (16¢) | — | in 88d |
| Florida | 29% | +17 pts | +9 pts | 5¢ · 53¢ (48¢) | — | in 88d |
| Oregon | 14% | +1 pts | −14 pts | <1¢ · 29¢ (28¢) | — | in 88d |
| Texas | 69% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 59¢ · 78¢ (19¢) | — | in 88d |
| Miami (FL) | 71% | −8 pts | +1 pts | 62¢ · 80¢ (18¢) | — | in 88d |
| Alabama | 66% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 63¢ · 69¢ (6¢) | — | in 88d |
| Georgia | 74% | −6 pts | — | 66¢ · 82¢ (16¢) | — | in 88d |
| SMU | 7% | −6 pts | +2 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 88d |
| Indiana | 69% | −3 pts | +20 pts | 66¢ · 72¢ (6¢) | — | in 88d |
| Louisville | 9% | +3 pts | +3 pts | 2¢ · 16¢ (15¢) | — | in 88d |
| Ole Miss | 32% | +3 pts | +5 pts | 23¢ · 40¢ (17¢) | — | in 88d |
| Texas A&M | 11% | +4 pts | +3 pts | 2¢ · 20¢ (18¢) | — | in 88d |
| Kansas St. | 19% | +6 pts | +16 pts | 3¢ · 35¢ (32¢) | — | in 88d |
| Tulane | 2% | 0 pts | −7 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 88d |
| Florida St. | 14% | −4 pts | +11 pts | 2¢ · 26¢ (24¢) | — | in 88d |
| South Carolina | 7% | — | +1 pts | 3¢ · 10¢ (7¢) | — | in 88d |
| North Carolina St. | 2% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 88d |
| Texas Tech | 44% | +25 pts | +28 pts | 5¢ · 83¢ (78¢) | — | in 88d |
| California | 7% | 0 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 15¢ (14¢) | — | in 88d |
| Washington | 4% | 0 pts | −8 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 88d |
| Virginia | 7% | — | +1 pts | 3¢ · 10¢ (7¢) | — | in 88d |
| Arkansas | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 88d |
| USC | 16% | +3 pts | +4 pts | 2¢ · 29¢ (27¢) | — | in 88d |
| TCU | 6% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 10¢ (8¢) | — | in 88d |
| North Texas | 5% | — | −7 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 88d |
| Auburn | 8% | — | −17 pts | 2¢ · 13¢ (11¢) | — | in 88d |
| Clemson | 8% | — | −4 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | — | in 88d |
| Vanderbilt | 2% | — | −6 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 88d |
| Oklahoma | 9% | −2 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 17¢ (16¢) | — | in 88d |
| Miami (OH) | 4% | −1 pts | −6 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 88d |
| Pittsburgh | 18% | 0 pts | +7 pts | 1¢ · 36¢ (35¢) | — | in 88d |
| Utah | 40% | +18 pts | +24 pts | 10¢ · 69¢ (59¢) | $46.2 | in 88d |
| Arizona St. | 19% | 0 pts | +9 pts | 2¢ · 37¢ (35¢) | — | in 88d |
| BYU | 45% | +24 pts | +25 pts | 3¢ · 87¢ (84¢) | $23 | in 88d |
| Arizona | 45% | +2 pts | +33 pts | 1¢ · 90¢ (89¢) | — | in 88d |
| Georgia Tech | 19% | 0 pts | +6 pts | <1¢ · 38¢ (38¢) | — | in 88d |
| Michigan | 10% | — | +2 pts | 2¢ · 18¢ (16¢) | — | in 88d |
| Ohio St. | 59% | −18 pts | −12 pts | 49¢ · 69¢ (20¢) | $10.9 | in 88d |
| James Madison | 5% | 0 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 88d |
| Missouri | 21% | −1 pts | +7 pts | 3¢ · 38¢ (35¢) | — | in 88d |
| Oklahoma St. | 13% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 24¢ (23¢) | — | in 88d |
| Penn St. | 11% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 19¢ (17¢) | — | in 88d |
| Baylor | 44% | −2 pts | +34 pts | <1¢ · 88¢ (88¢) | — | in 88d |
| Houston | 21% | −5 pts | +7 pts | 2¢ · 40¢ (38¢) | — | in 88d |
| Illinois | 45% | +2 pts | +31 pts | <1¢ · 89¢ (89¢) | — | in 88d |
| Iowa | 42% | +16 pts | +21 pts | 2¢ · 82¢ (80¢) | — | in 88d |
| Tennessee | 20% | −4 pts | +8 pts | 2¢ · 37¢ (35¢) | — | in 88d |
| Kentucky | 35% | −11 pts | +14 pts | <1¢ · 70¢ (70¢) | — | in 88d |
| Virginia Tech | 23% | −3 pts | +12 pts | <1¢ · 45¢ (45¢) | — | in 88d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d |  extractive-manatee | Notre Dame | BuyYes79¢ → 84¢ | $1,081 | +$58 +5.4% | 4 |
extractive-manatee1,425 shares
Dr.PNL550 shares
bigdihhh88860 sharesThis market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the quarterfinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "quarterfinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which eight teams remain (the four first-round winners plus the four teams seeded 1–4 that received first-round byes). A team counts as reaching the quarterfinals if it is scheduled to play in a quarterfinal game, whether by receiving a top-4 seed and a first-round bye or by winning its first-round game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the quarterfinal round is not played by January 13, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 84¢ for Notre Dame means the market gives it about 84%.