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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9 | 100% | +28 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526d | Zens | May 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,285 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 527d | VvVv | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,762 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 527d |  yippy | May 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,473 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 527d |  Flipadelphia | May 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,351 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 527d | blancofly | May 9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 527d | Zens2 fills | May 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,285 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 527d | ownxkxpsk | May 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,569 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 527d |  Car2 fills | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,296 | +$186 +1.1% | 20 |
| 527d |  Slowroasted | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,486 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 527d |  betwick | May 31 | BuyYes100¢ | $9,832 | +$49 +0.5% | 20 |
| 527d |  AgricultureSecretary | May 9 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$238 +19% | 24 |
| 527d | Generator | May 9 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$727 +36% | 27 |
| 527d | jinbib | May 9 | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 29 |
| 527d | polyfabian | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 |
| 527d |  oliintoon | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$8 +0.7% | 20 |
| 527d | w00fus2 fills | May 9 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $8,100 | −$8,100 −100% | 32 |
| 527d | Willie555 | May 31 | SellYes100¢ | $1,881 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 527d |  dotethguy2 fills | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,186 | +$62 +1.5% | 20 |
| 528d | ownxkxpsk | May 9 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$386 +27% | 24 |
| 529d | Willie555 | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,939 | +$91 +1.8% | 20 |
| 530d | educated-bet | May 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,905 | −$95 −1.9% | — |
| 532d |  UMAisawesome | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,274 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 532d | leoo-381 | May 9 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$412 +41% | 22 |
| 533d | YasH | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 533d | mooseytunes0 | May 9 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,872 | +$1,459 +38% | 20 |
| 536d | 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,609 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 536d | polyfabian3 fills | April 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,962 | −$19 −0.4% | — |
| 536d |  Voltaire-6742 fills | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,528 | −$33 −0.9% | — |
| 536d | Car | April 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,120 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 537d |  DoneWithIt2 fills | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 537d |  mr.ozi | May 9 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | +$1,401 +59% | 20 |
| 537d | Car | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,810 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 537d | polyfabian2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,998 | +$24 +0.3% | 20 |
| 538d | xst | May 9 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$1,139 +73% | 20 |
| 538d | N3kro | May 9 | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,167 | −$1,167 −100% | 20 |
| 538d | Dar1us | May 9 | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$908 −65% | — |
| 539d | goingsocial | May 9 | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | −$737 −53% | — |
| 540d |  DEGENKHAN | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,011 | +$16 +0.8% | 20 |
| 541d | OLOTH | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,719 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 541d | XZZD | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,932 | +$71 +2.4% | 20 |
| 541d |  ShelbyCompanyLtd | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$19 +1.7% | 20 |
| 541d | RolandChang | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$20 +1.7% | 20 |
| 541d |  Mr.Eggplant | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$31 +1.7% | 20 |
| 541d | DoneWithIt3 fills | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,108 | +$70 +1.4% | 20 |
| 541d | Dar1us | May 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $18,972 | +$613 +3.2% | 20 |
| 542d | Dar1us | May 9 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,286 | +$1,115 +49% | 20 |
| 543d | zadymiarz | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 543d | Voltaire-674 | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$24 +1.2% | 20 |
| 543d | Gryndel | May 9 | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $13,315 | +$13,315 +100% | — |
| 543d | Xendros | May 9 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $23,692 | +$13,327 +56% | 20 |
| 543d |  Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$14 +1.2% | 20 |
| 544d | goingsocial | May 9 | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$1,044 +96% | 20 |
| 544d | educated-bet | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,894 | +$106 +2.2% | 20 |
This is a market on the date when the next Pope will be announced following the current Pope's resignation or death.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 9 means the market gives it about 100%.