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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orbán - Hungary PM | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Macron - France President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Erdoğan - Türkiye President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Xi - General Secretary of the CCP | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Netanyahu - Israel PM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Albanese - Australia PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Newsom - California Governor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Milei - Argentina President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Starmer - UK PM | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Trump - USA President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Putin - Russia President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Lula da Silva - Brazil President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Lecornu - France PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Takaichi - Japan PM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Abbas - President of Palestine | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Merz - German Chancellor | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Sánchez - Spanish PM | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Sheinbaum - Mexico President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Petro - Colombia President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| al-Sharaa - Syria President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| None before 2027 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161d |  Cloverince | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,564 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | Cloverince | Xi - General Secretary of the CCP | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | GironaNite | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | Palace87093 fills | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,911 | +$98 +0.7% | 4 |
| 161d |  JJo | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,776 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 161d | i18z2 fills | Starmer - UK PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,065 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 161d | 8426 | Starmer - UK PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d |  mantou11 | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,908 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 161d |  HorribleWork3 fills | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,517 | +$92 +0.5% | 4 |
| 161d | DumbOracle | Orbán - Hungary PM | SellYes>99¢ | $1,194 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 161d | Xaci | Starmer - UK PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,842 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 161d | Bikesarethebest | Netanyahu - Israel PM | SellNo>99¢ | $1,063 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 161d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,221 | +$66 +1.1% | 4 |
| 161d | JJo | Abbas - President of Palestine | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,096 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | JJo | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,152 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | Takaichi - Japan PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,814 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | i18z2 fills | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,141 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | i18z2 fills | Abbas - President of Palestine | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,141 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | i18z2 fills | Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,141 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | i18z | Takaichi - Japan PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,070 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | i18z2 fills | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,141 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | 0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | None before 2027 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,690 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 162d | i18z | None before 2027 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,070 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 162d |  archaic2 fills | Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | SellNo>99¢ | $3,200 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 162d |  MrNoItAll | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,078 | +$22 +0.7% | 4 |
| 162d |  Tenebrus7 | Orbán - Hungary PM | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | −$16 −1.1% | — |
| 162d | ZIONISTSAREGHEY | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$17 +0.9% | 4 |
| 163d | armads8 fills | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,042 | +$282 +1.6% | 4 |
| 166d | Darling-Top | None before 2027 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$9 +0.9% | 4 |
| 166d |  Vanquish | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$38 +3.5% | 4 |
| 167d | turboarcane | Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President | SellNo>99¢ | $1,026 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 168d | 65765757 | Orbán - Hungary PM | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,046 | −$104 −5.1% | — |
| 168d | Passionate-Left | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,814 | +$76 +4.2% | 4 |
| 170d | archaic | Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$23 +1.7% | 4 |
| 171d | Wiry-Tremor | Trump - USA President | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$7 +0.7% | 4 |
| 172d | taesookim | Orbán - Hungary PM | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | −$96 −8.7% | — |
| 172d | 2343545 | Takaichi - Japan PM | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 173d | 2343545 | Takaichi - Japan PM | BuyNo100¢ | $1,012 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 174d | archaic | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$200 +14% | 4 |
| 175d | 65765757 | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$154 +7.7% | 4 |
| 182d |  sebelmaestro | Macron - France President | SellNo>99¢ | $1,667 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 182d | sebelmaestro | Macron - France President | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,668 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 182d | sebelmaestro | Lecornu - France PM | SellNo>99¢ | $1,221 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 182d | sebelmaestro | Lecornu - France PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 182d | sebelmaestro | Erdoğan - Türkiye President | SellNo>99¢ | $1,269 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 182d | sebelmaestro | Erdoğan - Türkiye President | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,270 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 182d | sebelmaestro2 fills | Newsom - California Governor | SellNo>99¢ | $2,855 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 182d | sebelmaestro3 fills | Newsom - California Governor | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,697 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 184d | tutrucks | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | +$126 +7.5% | 4 |
| 184d | sdf4wf2 fills | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,668 | +$147 +1.5% | 4 |
| 184d | gfg55gg | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,522 | +$78 +1.7% | 4 |
| 184d | sdefe44 | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,714 | +$86 +1.8% | 4 |
| 184d | sdsdsfdf | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,634 | +$66 +1.4% | 4 |
| 184d | sdfgg52 fills | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,919 | +$81 +1.6% | 4 |
| 184d | 23fswe | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,842 | +$74 +1.5% | 4 |
| 187d | Motherly-EveryoneNew account | Orbán - Hungary PM | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | −$174 −17% | — |
| 187d | Motherly-EveryoneNew account | Orbán - Hungary PM | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$112 +10% | 9 |
| 187d | gvbdsfvaw | None before 2027 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$8 +0.8% | 4 |
| 187d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,722 | +$31 +0.7% | 4 |
| 187d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Putin - Russia President | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
labistiiia2,000 shares
grinopro1,000 sharesThis market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Orbán - Hungary PM means the market gives it about 100%.