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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abiy Ahmed | 100% | +3 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Belete Molla | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Berhanu Nega | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alesa Mengesha | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Demeke Mekonnen | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shimelis Abdisa | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adanech Abiebie | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gedion Timothewos | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | thoodr | Shimelis Abdisa | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,932 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 11d | thoodr | Gedion Timothewos | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,648 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 11d | 0x6fa7…907e | Abiy Ahmed | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,943 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 11d | WhenYouFindMe | Shimelis Abdisa | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,237 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 11d | WhenYouFindMe | Demeke Mekonnen | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,377 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 11d | po123456789103 fills | Abiy Ahmed | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,919 | +$29 +0.4% | 4 |
| 11d | lIllIlllIlIl | Abiy Ahmed | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,984 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 11d | donthackme2 fills | Shimelis Abdisa | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,645 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 11d | donthackme2 fills | Gedion Timothewos | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,646 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 11d | donthackme2 fills | Demeke Mekonnen | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,645 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 11d | donthackme2 fills | Alesa Mengesha | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,644 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 11d | propunter3421 | Abiy Ahmed | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$11 +0.7% | 4 |
| 12d | pagliacci43 fills | Abiy Ahmed | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,112 | +$208 +2.9% | 4 |
| 22d | Abiy Ahmed | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,077 | −$146 −4.7% | — | |
| 23d | Abiy Ahmed | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | +$87 +4.9% | 4 | |
| 24d | Abiy Ahmed | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,510 | +$70 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 24d | donthackme | Adanech Abiebie | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 24d | donthackme | Berhanu Nega | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 24d | donthackme | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 48d | 0xe0e9…8b0182 fills | Demeke Mekonnen | BuyNo>99¢ | $410,906 | +$1,236 +0.3% | 4 |
| 48d | 0x5ae8…ba0787 fills | Demeke Mekonnen | BuyNo>99¢ | $436,042 | +$1,312 +0.3% | 4 |
| 49d | Abiy Ahmed | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,952 | −$67 −3.5% | — | |
| 50d | 0x8ba5…6c293 fills | Demeke Mekonnen | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,530 | +$44 +0.3% | 4 |
| 50d | 0xc2de…0e6f2 fills | Berhanu Nega | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,326 | +$52 +0.5% | 4 |
| 50d | 0x8d52…16d74 fills | Berhanu Nega | BuyNo100¢ | $21,369 | +$107 +0.5% | 4 |
| 51d | 0x226a…72b111 fills | Demeke Mekonnen | BuyNo>99¢ | $55,140 | +$166 +0.3% | 4 |
| 54d | 0xe0e9…8b012 fills | Demeke Mekonnen | SellNo>99¢ | $10,020 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 54d | 0x5ae8…ba07 | Demeke Mekonnen | SellNo>99¢ | $5,003 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 57d | 0x2737…36624 fills | Berhanu Nega | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,329 | +$102 +0.5% | 4 |
| 57d | 0x8ff3…68844 fills | Berhanu Nega | BuyNo100¢ | $20,175 | +$101 +0.5% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x1046…d0033 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,287 | +$46 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x2af3…40193 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,988 | +$45 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x2c35…4a273 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,392 | +$46 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xbe7d…6d043 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,024 | +$45 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xd1f0…dfbc3 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,236 | +$46 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x1c9f…d59d6 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,730 | +$92 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xc986…5b136 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,595 | +$92 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x4c84…749c6 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,158 | +$91 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xa6bc…e0fb9 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,682 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xdcc4…62eb6 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,840 | +$93 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x144c…33619 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,766 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x583e…b5a89 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,772 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xe2f3…1c5d9 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,029 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x8914…aa249 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,840 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xa33c…4cf69 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,553 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x408d…c9189 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,017 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x7fcf…c30b9 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,769 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x84e5…0b049 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,820 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x53a6…567b9 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,490 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x317d…af289 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,086 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x90d6…efad9 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,700 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xd065…bcba9 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,289 | +$124 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xaf5e…3ee89 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,176 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x49d8…a5599 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,143 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x011d…7f529 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,784 | +$122 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x2a0e…8f819 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,044 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x64fe…f29f9 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,098 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xb77f…28719 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,840 | +$123 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0x06a0…397e6 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,765 | +$93 +0.3% | 4 |
| 58d | 0xdeb4…0be68 fills | Belete Molla | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,968 | +$113 +0.3% | 4 |
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Abiy Ahmed means the market gives it about 100%.