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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Miliband | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Pat McFadden | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Darren Jones | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Wes Streeting | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Shabana Mahmood | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| David Lammy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Rachel Reeves | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Hilary Benn | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| John Healey | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Lisa Nandy | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| No next Foreign Secretary in 2026 | 0% | −3 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| David Miliband | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88d | M888 | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,177 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | M888 | Wes Streeting | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d |  thx4playing | No next Foreign Secretary in 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 89d | pagliacci4 | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 90d |  cambridgeisaac | Ed Miliband | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$163 +15% | 4 |
| 92d |  Rambaldi.seeker | No next Foreign Secretary in 2026 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,612 | −$797 −30% | — |
| 92d | cambridgeisaac | No next Foreign Secretary in 2026 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$269 +20% | 4 |
| 93d | Bigggggggg | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 93d | Bigggggggg | David Miliband | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$22 +2.1% | 4 |
| 94d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | No next Foreign Secretary in 2026 | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$1,231 +117% | 4 |
| 95d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac862 fills | No next Foreign Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $2,309 | −$2,309 −100% | 5 |
| 95d | smaugvision | No next Foreign Secretary in 2026 | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$891 +80% | 4 |
| 99d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac863 fills | Wes Streeting | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $8,034 | +$5,172 +64% | 4 |
| 106d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | David Miliband | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$589 +49% | 4 |
| 116d |  KimchiCapital | Darren Jones | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$241 +18% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ed Miliband means the market gives it about 100%.