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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137d | Privatror | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellNothing>99¢ | $1,206 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 138d | Weak-Cooking | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellNothing100¢ | $1,175 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 139d | testament-availability-ocean-centaur | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellNothing97¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$32 −2.7% | — |
| 140d |  AlwaysRegressing | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellNothing94¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | −$92 −6.6% | — |
| 143d | testament-availability-ocean-centaur | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyNothing88¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$164 +13% | 5 |
| 146d |  DoubleDip | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuySomething27¢ → 0¢ | $1,028 | −$1,028 −100% | 6 |
| 164d |  StarMaster | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellNothing77¢ → 100¢ | $1,539 | −$461 −30% | — |
ondra1236,000 shares
False-Gateway977 sharesThis market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US x Iran permanent peace deal - Iran leadership change - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US military action against Cuba - US confirms that aliens exist - Russia invades a NATO country Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.