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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| António José Seguro (IND) | 100% | +41 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tim Vieira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joana Amaral Dias (ADN) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Pestana (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Ventura (CH) | 0% | −30 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Orlando Cruz (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aristides Teixeira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuela Magno (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitorino Silva (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ângela Maryah (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| António Filipe (PCP) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raul Perestrello (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Cardoso (PLS) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge Pinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuel João Vieira | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Humberto Correia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | 0% | −7 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rui Moreira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paulo Portas (CDS) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catarina Martins (BE) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 271d |  knrad3 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,761 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  thevicentesilva | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $10,036 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Extravaganza123 | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo>99¢ | $6,516 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  Wagner275738 | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,080 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | ForFamily2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,391 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 271d | Predictandbreathe3 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $13,073 | −$50 −0.4% | — |
| 271d | mikka101 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,878 | +$14 +0.4% | 10 |
| 271d | PatoBlindado | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$14 +0.5% | 10 |
| 271d |  godpls | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,517 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 271d |  BossuSmekeru | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes100¢ | $3,046 | +$15 +0.5% | 10 |
| 271d | Carefree-Load | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo>99¢ | $4,289 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  DonAntimatter | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,491 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  BB2020 | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,975 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | thevicentesilva | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,084 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 271d |  Blue-moon | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo>99¢ | $6,077 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  LevonS | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,289 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | 0x1f25…21a4 | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo>99¢ | $6,495 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  Ryxon21 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,060 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 271d |  0xdc3E831cad2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,146 | −$62 −0.6% | — |
| 271d | wubddh2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 271d |  nnimrodd | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,915 | −$26 −0.9% | — |
| 271d | itsnotmeiswear3 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,177 | +$77 +0.4% | 10 |
| 271d |  FelipeDiniz | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,967 | −$56 −1.4% | — |
| 271d | oipjgcxrf2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,073 | +$180 +0.9% | 10 |
| 271d | influenz.eth | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,290 | +$23 +1.0% | 10 |
| 271d | rated | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 271d |  Flipadelphia3 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,619 | +$60 +0.6% | 10 |
| 271d | buydadeep | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$15 +0.5% | 10 |
| 271d | seriolud | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo>99¢ | $3,764 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 271d | Mrhack210291 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 271d |  sciuboi | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,818 | −$20 −0.7% | — |
| 271d | AZwater2 fills | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,242 | +$35 +0.2% | 10 |
| 271d | Flipadelphia | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 10 |
| 271d | AZwater3 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,956 | +$40 +0.8% | 10 |
| 271d | BBTAN | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,751 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 271d | ayslate | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,999 | −$82 −1.0% | — |
| 271d | phineasdog | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,304 | −$39 −0.9% | — |
| 271d | AZwater | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,737 | +$68 +1.0% | 10 |
| 271d | cigarettes2 fills | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,388 | +$52 +1.5% | 10 |
| 271d | cigarettes | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,715 | +$5 +0.3% | 10 |
| 271d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$34 +1.9% | 10 |
| 271d |  xUpside | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | +$55 +4.0% | 10 |
| 271d | motardio3 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,882 | +$371 +7.6% | 10 |
| 271d | thevicentesilva | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,448 | +$599 +6.3% | 10 |
| 271d | sciuboi | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,167 | +$166 +7.7% | 10 |
| 271d | Cryptobahemith | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,539 | +$273 +4.2% | 10 |
| 271d | rated | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 271d | jocpolitic | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,819 | +$507 +28% | 11 |
| 271d | jocpolitic | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | +$458 +27% | 11 |
| 271d |  chefepanda2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,169 | +$1,058 +25% | 11 |
| 271d | alliswell3 fills | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $32,056 | +$859 +2.7% | 10 |
| 271d |  flow-trader-at-optiver8 fills | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,103 | +$101 +0.6% | 10 |
| 271d | FelipeDiniz | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | +$884 +28% | 11 |
| 271d | flow-trader-at-optiver7 fills | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,842 | +$168 +1.1% | 10 |
| 271d | ayslate | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$1,422 +62% | 12 |
| 271d |  Brazilianquantdev | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$612 +52% | 12 |
| 272d | influenz.eth2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | −$1,208 −56% | — |
| 272d | flow-trader-at-optiver7 fills | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $15,042 | +$1,151 +7.7% | 10 |
| 272d | Belated-JockeyNew account | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $12,000 | −$12,000 −100% | 34 |
| 272d | Carefree-Load | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,155 | +$138 +3.3% | 10 |
flow-trader-at-optiver9,230 sharesPresidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for António José Seguro (IND) means the market gives it about 100%.