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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanae Takaichi | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shinjirō Koizumi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yoshihiko Noda | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tetsuo Saito | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hirofumi Yoshimura | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Toshimitsu Motegi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Takayuki Kobayashi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yūichirō Tamaki | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yoshimasa Hayashi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taro Kono | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yōko Kamikawa | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Fumitake Fujita | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | iamgood898 | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $2,817 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 241d |  Trolll2 fills | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $19,033 | −$35 −0.2% | — |
| 241d | cnfiguridofjnfke | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $8,529 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | avokadokado | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,811 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 242d | xrystalik | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,907 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 242d | JohnsoncCrypto | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,389 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 242d | JamesKo | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,028 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 243d | weaklei3 fills | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,599 | +$10 +0.2% | 10 |
| 244d | f4fggg | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,618 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 244d | f4fggg | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,620 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 244d | lovohikin | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,108 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 244d | ElonLink | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,658 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 244d | fyychi | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,077 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 245d |  zb8 | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $2,512 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 245d | 899L | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,017 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 245d | 655hbh | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,359 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 245d | 6H6HKK | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,141 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 245d | R6H546 | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,028 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 245d | UTYJJGY | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,018 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 245d | 56HGF | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,047 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 245d |  videlake2 fills | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,310 | +$17 +0.1% | 10 |
| 246d | 899L | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 246d | 655hbh | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,369 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 246d | 56HGF | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 246d | UTYJJGY | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,023 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 246d | 6H6HKK | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,148 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 246d | R6H546 | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 246d | 6H5H | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,071 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 247d | rated | Taro Kono | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 247d | Trolll4 fills | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,369 | +$44 +0.3% | 10 |
| 247d | j75j65 | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 247d | 6H5H | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,075 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 247d | ughg788778 | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,576 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 247d | 88886kuy | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 247d | k78k7 | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,231 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 247d | ughg788778 | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,578 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 247d | Annieelisa | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $7,416 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 247d | hj65h | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,050 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 247d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 247d |  GollumGekko | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 248d | valarmorgulis00 | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,628 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 248d |  Cheddar-Factory | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,318 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 248d | k78k7 | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,239 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 248d | 88886kuy | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 248d | hj65h | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,058 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 248d | rated2 fills | Fumitake Fujita | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,102 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 249d | sszy | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 249d | Trolll | Shinjirō Koizumi | SellNo>99¢ | $1,823 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 249d | retroactivesource | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $20,126 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 249d |  ParaNormal | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $4,104 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 249d |  Opium4 | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $4,116 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 249d |  jinrui-wu | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | rated2 fills | Yōko Kamikawa | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,102 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 250d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $3,655 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | 0x76f2…3fb113 fills | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $16,217 | −$32 −0.2% | — |
| 250d | 0x76f2…3fb113 fills | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,246 | +$16 +0.1% | 10 |
| 250d | weaklei | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $2,106 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | Equal-Detention | Sanae Takaichi | SellYes>99¢ | $1,005 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 250d | zb8 | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,341 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 250d | Observer0 | Sanae Takaichi | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,225 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
Tropicalrambler5 shares
kamoshirenai145,318 shares
89ito52,953 shares
TungstenTamaki10,215 sharesGeneral elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Prime Minister of Japan, as a result of this election. This market will resolve to Sanae Takaichi if she remains Prime Minister as a result of this election. Any other individual must be formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor to qualify. If the results of this election are not officially released by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sanae Takaichi means the market gives it about 100%.