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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Tim Scott | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Elise Stefanik | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Kristi Noem | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Nikki Haley | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Kari Lake | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Ron DeSantis | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Byron Donalds | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Tucker Carlson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Ben Carson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Katie Britt | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Nancy Mace | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Mike Pompeo | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Wesley Hunt | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Henry McMaster | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Lee Zeldin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Trump Family member | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Other Man | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Other Woman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Mike Pence | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,936 | +$24 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 823d | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $8,425 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 823d | chris157 - 26072 | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $2,375 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $84,263 | +$17,786 +21% | 10 | |
| 823d | uytre | Marco Rubio | SellNo>99¢ | $1,085 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $10,474 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 823d | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $1,296 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 823d | shane777 | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $5,549 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 823d | Levels | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $1,718 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 823d | Aurelius7 | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,895 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 823d | QPF | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $4,003 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 823d | professorx2 fills | JD Vance | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,387 | +$43 +0.2% | 10 |
| 823d | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $9,074 | −$18 −0.2% | — | |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $18,316 | +$14,300 +78% | 10 | |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,137 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 823d | BreadGet | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $7,984 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 823d | POLYPOLY-560 | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $5,153 | −$16 −0.3% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,333 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 823d | Nodar | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $1,426 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $178,189 | +$4,257 +2.4% | 10 | |
| 823d | Teekyboy | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,063 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,758 | −$70 −0.5% | — | |
| 823d | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — | |
| 823d | kristjan-580 | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $1,102 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,039 | +$35 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 823d | t-ray81 | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 823d | obsidiantracker2 fills | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $2,027 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 823d | lolerson | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $2,488 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 823d | BrianXBT | JD Vance | SellYes>99¢ | $2,265 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 823d | 22002200 | Vivek Ramaswamy | SellNo>99¢ | $2,270 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 823d | BeN | JD Vance | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 10 |
| 823d | Arnel | JD Vance | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | −$1,081 −100% | 11 |
| 823d | heroin | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,220 | −$143 −0.8% | — |
| 823d | Other Woman | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 823d | Anh24 | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,869 | −$201 −0.8% | — |
| 823d | noonly | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,965 | −$35 −0.7% | — |
| 823d | Masteroso | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$9 +0.6% | 10 |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,891 | +$122 +0.8% | 10 | |
| 823d | Trump2032-365 | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,894 | +$24 +0.6% | 10 |
| 823d | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,837 | −$13 −0.7% | — | |
| 823d | lfg69-057 | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $35,455 | −$277 −0.8% | — |
| 823d | Rotatoooor-180 | JD Vance | BuyYes100¢ | $2,985 | +$15 +0.5% | 10 |
| 823d | ncode123 | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,085 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 823d | piratadwayne | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$13 +0.5% | 10 |
| 823d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | +$11 +0.6% | 10 |
| 823d | Bouncy | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 823d | Vivek Ramaswamy | SellNo>99¢ | $2,512 | −$5 −0.2% | — | |
| 823d | Sarah Huckabee Sanders | SellNo>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,801 | +$21 +0.8% | 10 | |
| 823d | RFK? | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,901 | −$100 −1.0% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,883 | +$53 +0.9% | 10 | |
| 823d | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$13 +0.9% | 10 | |
| 823d | Vance46 | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,252 | −$53 −1.0% | — |
| 823d | NAN | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,622 | −$142 −0.9% | — |
| 823d | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,350 | −$27 −0.8% | — | |
| 823d | lesse | JD Vance | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,960 | +$40 +0.8% | 10 |
| 823d | slyy | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 823d | better1222 | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,753 | −$33 −0.9% | — |
| 823d | henlo42 | JD Vance | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,065 | −$33 −0.8% | — |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for JD Vance means the market gives it about 100%.