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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicușor Dan | 100% | +1 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crin Antonescu | 0% | −2 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Simion | 0% | — | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Victor Ponta | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elena Lasconi | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Călin Georgescu | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ilie Bolojan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 529d | InsiderrrZ | Crin Antonescu | SellNo>99¢ | $12,862 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 529d |  Slowroasted2 fills | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,570 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 529d |  ScamWick2 fills | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,879 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 529d | Stefanlecca | Nicușor Dan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,532 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 530d | maurelius-495 | Nicușor Dan | SellYes100¢ | $3,579 | −$18 −0.5% | — |
| 530d | Dontmatterdog | Nicușor Dan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,522 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 530d |  archaic | George Simion | SellNo>99¢ | $1,531 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 530d | ScamWick2 fills | Victor Ponta | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,619 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 530d | Ontariotrucker | Victor Ponta | SellNo>99¢ | $1,705 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 530d |  Flipadelphia | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,081 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 530d |  😊😊😊 | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,489 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 530d |  Cajetan | Crin Antonescu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,813 | +$73 +1.1% | 10 |
| 530d |  GoriIIa | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,681 | +$76 +0.9% | 10 |
| 530d | notropic401 | Crin Antonescu | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,178 | −$166 −2.7% | — |
| 530d | notropic401 | Nicușor Dan | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,712 | −$111 −2.4% | — |
| 530d |  llllllllIIIII | Nicușor Dan | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | −$29 −1.9% | — |
| 530d | Crock952 fills | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,764 | +$722 +19% | 10 |
| 530d | randomGuy2580 | Victor Ponta | SellNo>99¢ | $2,320 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 530d | AkaShiningArmour | Nicușor Dan | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | −$31 −2.2% | — |
| 530d | asdalkjfa | Victor Ponta | SellNo>99¢ | $1,066 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 530d | Legume | Nicușor Dan | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | −$38 −3.1% | — |
| 530d | InsiderrrZ3 fills | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,746 | +$71 +1.9% | 10 |
| 530d | InsiderrrZ | Crin Antonescu | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,778 | +$98 +2.0% | 10 |
| 530d | cigarettes | Crin Antonescu | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$36 +3.1% | 10 |
| 530d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$35 +3.1% | 10 |
| 530d |  debased | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,049 | +$108 +5.3% | 10 |
| 530d | Legume | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$48 +4.3% | 10 |
| 530d |  occasionalAwareness | Nicușor Dan | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,182 | −$164 −7.5% | — |
| 530d | llllllllIIIII | Crin Antonescu | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,043 | +$122 +4.0% | 10 |
| 530d | notropic401 | Crin Antonescu | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$343 +5.7% | 10 |
| 530d | ScamWick4 fills | George Simion | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,766 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 530d | nonkenny90 | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$538 +36% | 10 |
| 530d | llllllllIIIII | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | +$573 +41% | 10 |
| 530d | wokerjoesleeper | Crin Antonescu | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$146 +12% | 10 |
| 530d | wokerjoesleeper | George Simion | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,321 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 530d | wokerjoesleeper | Victor Ponta | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,325 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 530d | AkaShiningArmour | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$153 +12% | 10 |
| 530d | LionHeart | Crin Antonescu | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 10 |
| 530d | InsiderrrZ | Victor Ponta | BuyNo100¢ | $3,313 | +$17 +0.5% | 10 |
| 530d | Flipadelphia | Victor Ponta | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | +$26 +1.2% | 10 |
| 530d | InsiderrrZ | Nicușor Dan | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,226 | −$1,226 −100% | 10 |
| 530d | qwerty930 | Victor Ponta | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$21 +1.1% | 10 |
| 531d | debased | Crin Antonescu | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$1,042 +87% | 20 |
| 531d | lava-lava | Nicușor Dan | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$2,844 +178% | 19 |
| 532d | Ontariotrucker | Victor Ponta | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,636 | +$71 +4.3% | 11 |
| 532d | Melody626 | Nicușor Dan | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,453 | −$2,453 −100% | 15 |
| 533d | lug | George Simion | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$198 +11% | 12 |
| 533d | Dornez | Nicușor Dan | SellYes41¢ → 100¢ | $10,801 | −$15,542 −144% | — |
| 533d | Morraze | Nicușor Dan | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $15,561 | −$15,561 −100% | 15 |
| 533d | Cajetan | Călin Georgescu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 533d | Cajetan | Elena Lasconi | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,295 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 533d | Cajetan | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,297 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 533d | Cajetan | George Simion | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$143 +12% | 12 |
| 533d | Cajetan | Ilie Bolojan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 534d | nonkenny902 fills | Victor Ponta | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,446 | +$294 +8.5% | 11 |
The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. On January 16, Romania's coalition government approved a re-run of the presidential election. It is scheduled for May 4, with a second round on May 18, if no candidate receives an absolute majority of the vote (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romania-confirms-date-tightens-rules-presidential-election-rerun-2025-01-16/). This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the second greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Nicușor Dan means the market gives it about 100%.