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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411d |  scout | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,146 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 413d | david3891 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,657 | −$353 −4.1% | — |
| 413d |  duderr | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,811 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 413d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,094 | +$176 +5.7% | 20 |
| 413d |  Roflan-ludoman | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,479 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 415d | david38912 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,954 | +$56 +0.6% | 20 |
| 416d | MegaKong2 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,502 | +$138 +1.6% | 20 |
| 416d | Defenderino | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$16 +1.4% | 20 |
| 417d |  MisTKy3 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$20 +1.5% | 20 |
| 420d | jackdolphin3232 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,624 | −$54 −2.0% | — |
| 420d |  Serega-pro | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$99 +2.1% | 20 |
| 420d |  TealV6 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $27,110 | +$2,783 +10% | 20 |
| 421d | Yafan3 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,944 | −$807 −8.1% | — |
| 421d | NELF | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,668 | +$46 +2.8% | 20 |
| 421d | Yafan7 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $18,011 | +$960 +5.3% | 20 |
| 421d | nhpx38txna0500 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,447 | +$436 +3.0% | 20 |
| 421d |  Sivert | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,055 | +$219 +3.1% | 20 |
| 423d | inrock302 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $7,515 | +$1,336 +18% | 20 |
| 423d | Double-NucleotideNew account | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 32 |
| 424d | zizar3 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$100 −9.9% | — |
| 424d |  satoshiAncap | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,709 | −$1,709 −100% | 24 |
| 424d | CrashOverride95 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$142 +11% | 20 |
| 424d |  truthteller3 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,079 | +$1,042 +17% | 20 |
| 424d |  tsadachartsad | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,371 | −$1,371 −100% | 22 |
| 425d | Mannerism | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$242 −23% | — |
| 426d | jackdolphin3232 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | +$367 +16% | 20 |
| 427d | Qtyu2 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,281 | +$914 +17% | 20 |
| 427d | Mannerism | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$322 +24% | 20 |
| 427d | hellokitty117 | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$240 +21% | 20 |
| 427d | Mannerism | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,185 | −$1,185 −100% | 20 |
| 427d |  yrcare2 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $3,333 | −$1,763 −53% | — |
| 427d |  BuckMySalls2 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,569 | −$2,569 −100% | 20 |
| 429d | yrcare | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$950 +63% | 20 |
| 430d |  RelaySucks4 fills | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $7,267 | +$5,023 +69% | 20 |
| 433d | annoyingamy | Russia announces air truce by August 31? | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,534 | −$1,534 −100% | 20 |
satoshiAncap21,364 shares
user-213094o3,105 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of Russia officially publicly announces an air truce or ceasefire, or announces a suspension, pause, limitation, or cessation—whether full or partial—of airstrikes, including missile, drone, or aerial bomb attacks, in Ukrainian territory by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. Agreements which are not publicly confirmed by the Russian government will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from the Government of Russia.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.