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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorginho Mello | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Marcelo Brigadeiro | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gelson Merisio | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| João Rodrigues | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Décio Lima | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Afrânio Boppré | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marcos Vieira | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adriano Silva | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | laolumanjuuma | Jorginho Mello | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 18d | QMG-SCALAR | Jorginho Mello | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,260 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 18d | QMG-CORE3 fills | Jorginho Mello | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,286 | +$74 +1.4% | 10 |
| 18d | e46m3 | Marcelo Brigadeiro | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$10 +0.8% | 10 |
| 18d | Marcelo Brigadeiro | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$10 +0.8% | 10 | |
| 38d | Carecainsano72 fills | Jorginho Mello | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | −$103 −4.1% | — |
| 92d | Jorginho Mello | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $6,230 | +$770 +12% | 10 | |
| 115d | Marcelo Brigadeiro | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,603 | +$485 +11% | 10 | |
| 116d | 0x6626…1f7d3 fills | Décio Lima | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,368 | +$31 +0.2% | 10 |
| 116d | 0xbebd…ea2e3 fills | Décio Lima | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,368 | +$31 +0.2% | 10 |
| 125d | Jorginho Mello | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,080 | +$411 +20% | 10 |
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jorginho Mello means the market gives it about 100%.