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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Shaban | 100% | +14 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Noor Tarun | 0% | −4 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ahsanul Hafiz | 0% | −10 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Bekkering | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris Rees | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43d |  The-Joker | Noor Tarun | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,816 | +$30 +1.1% | 10 |
| 43d | Snappy-Sandpaper-AvalancheNew account | Fatima Shaban | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$204 −17% | — |
| 43d | Snappy-Sandpaper-AvalancheNew account | Fatima Shaban | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$177 +15% | 14 |
| 44d | Addarash | Fatima Shaban | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$286 +12% | 13 |
| 44d |  mrworldwide2 fills | Fatima Shaban | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,278 | +$509 +12% | 13 |
| 45d |  alpha.chen | Fatima Shaban | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,030 | +$1,010 +33% | 14 |
| 46d | Nikname2003 | Noor Tarun | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$19 +1.6% | 10 |
BiDiFakePolls734 sharesA by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fatima Shaban means the market gives it about 100%.