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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 100% | +3 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $200M | 0% | −39 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $50M | 100% | 0 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $150M | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $400M | 0% | −4 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $250M | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| $300M | 0% | −6 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143d | calami | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,513 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d | tphhh2 fills | $150M | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,754 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d | thearbi2 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,585 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d | 1881aa | $150M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,200 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 143d |  cr1mean | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d |  lranon2nd | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | +$15 +0.7% | 2 |
| 143d | bondor | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,463 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d |  abhionpoly | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,191 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d | Obivanki | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d | abhionpoly | $250M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,585 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 143d | packmaner | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d |  Jiang2025 | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,646 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d |  SOLinvestigator2 fills | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,780 | +$19 +0.4% | 2 |
| 143d |  SpicyBrwny | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d | BunCaCham2 fills | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,975 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d | cr1mean | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,963 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 143d | cr1mean | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,124 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 143d | Jopeiedepoeie | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 143d |  KaitlynS | $150M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,826 | +$34 +1.2% | 2 |
| 143d |  Istaroth2 fills | $150M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,301 | −$59 −2.6% | — |
| 143d | d91f06effb | $100M | SellYes100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 143d | liangzi199010172 fills | $100M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,636 | +$90 +3.4% | 2 |
| 143d | Istaroth | $150M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$15 +1.2% | 2 |
| 143d |  N0stradumba55 | $250M | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | −$239 −22% | — |
| 143d | 1881aa | $250M | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$79 −6.4% | — |
| 143d | 0x16351b85A6160e7A3759Ec20603e7C14e4245624 fills | $200M | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $9,477 | −$4,229 −45% | — |
| 144d | 1881aa2 fills | $150M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,952 | +$312 +11% | 2 |
| 144d | 1881aa | $100M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | −$21 −1.1% | — |
| 144d |  Mollytrading | $150M | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | −$410 −24% | — |
| 144d |  psyph3r | $200M | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$184 −17% | — |
| 144d |  ProofofTravis | $150M | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$561 +19% | 2 |
| 144d | ppobb1123 | $400M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,690 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 144d | ppobb1123 | $400M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,687 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 |
| 144d | Mollytrading | $100M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,884 | −$35 −1.9% | — |
| 144d | SOLinvestigator2 fills | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,055 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 144d | dwornik | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $5,535 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 144d | 222Sera-phina92 | $50M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,248 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 144d | agliooglio | $250M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | +$19 +1.2% | 2 |
| 144d | greenrooibos | $100M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,516 | +$196 +3.6% | 2 |
| 144d |  Iax | $200M | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$113 +11% | 2 |
| 144d | LULLULU | $100M | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$184 −15% | — |
| 144d |  leleko2k | $400M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,882 | +$20 +1.1% | 2 |
| 144d | waleyyyy | $400M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | −$38 −1.3% | — |
| 144d | cleo. | $200M | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$340 +33% | 2 |
| 144d | dwornik3 fills | $100M | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $6,196 | +$1,064 +17% | 2 |
| 144d | Limping-Committee | $100M | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | −$71 −5.9% | — |
| 144d | jjjclv62 fills | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,800 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 144d | Awful-Involvement2 fills | $200M | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $2,735 | +$2,735 +100% | — |
| 145d |  G3M | $150M | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | −$326 −19% | — |
| 145d |  LiMoon | $100M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | +$77 +4.2% | 2 |
| 145d | Single-Legacy | $100M | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $1,077 | −$1,077 −100% | 3 |
| 145d | ccn023390 | $200M | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | +$960 +55% | 2 |
| 145d | MaxEnt | $100M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | −$97 −5.3% | — |
| 145d | Harsh-Caravan | $200M | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $4,964 | +$3,745 +75% | 2 |
| 145d | BaoC | $200M | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $3,596 | +$3,596 +100% | — |
| 145d |  lukeforc | $100M | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,699 | −$301 −8.1% | — |
| 145d |  Nanqiaoz | $200M | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,925 | +$1,925 +100% | — |
| 145d | Awful-Involvement3 fills | $100M | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $9,079 | −$1,476 −16% | — |
| 145d | 1881aa | $100M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 2 |
| 145d | MoonLambo1205 | $150M | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$942 +37% | 2 |
TimeTraveler200 shares
MrVatana100 shares
trader493,751 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Solstice's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $100M means the market gives it about 100%.