| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 2,000 | 10¢ → 80¢ | $1,590 | +$1,390 +695% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 421 | 3¢ → 37¢ | $155 | +$144 +1234% |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$50 +102% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 9¢ → 80¢ | $11 | +$10 +783% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$30 −85% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 2,000 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$125 −96% |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 3,000 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$49 −92% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 53¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +89% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$24 −97% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 170 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$33 −99% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 225 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,445 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$265 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 479 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,436 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$294 −100% |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,400 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$266 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,809 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 456 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Holocaust" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 640 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| US strike on Syria by December 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,989 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,467 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$421 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 272 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,589 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Wealthfront's market cap be between $1.95B and $2.05B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,693 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Anti-Semitic" or "Anti-Semitism" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 934 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 820 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,500 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$104 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 181 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 400 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 196 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Wealthfront's market cap be between $1.75B and $1.85B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Odds of Maduro out by March 31 on Friday over 35%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Howard" or "Witkoff" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Merry Christmas" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 30%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$225 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31,509 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$207 −100% |
| Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 410 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Bible" or "Pastor" during Hanukkah reception on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 25%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,714 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Drug" 3+ times during the announcement on December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 435 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on February 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,950 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,488 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,651 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 240 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Wealthfront's market cap be greater than $2.05B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 656 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,142 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
