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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin / Warsh | 0% | −92 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Economy | 0% | −87 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thank You 8+ times | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Federal Reserve 4+ times | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Too late | 0% | −74 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Very Respected | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Governor | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mistake | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Job 7+ times | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hottest | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Few years ago | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Outstanding | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Financial World | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rick / Rieder | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kick in / Kicked in | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wife | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harvard | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Think about it | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christopher / Waller | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MIT | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259d |  Bertapotamous | Thank You 8+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,289 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 259d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Kevin / Warsh | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | +$26 +1.5% | 20 |
| 260d |  Tanjirooo | Economy | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,087 | −$1,087 −100% | 20 |
MrVatana3,467 shares
Tillisdd129 sharesDonald Trump is set to announce a replacement for current Fed chair Jerome Powell on January 30, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/01/29/trump-says-he-will-announce-a-replacement-for-powell-as-fed-chair-friday-morning.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 30, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the Fed chairman announcement on January 30 (https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/01/29/trump-says-he-will-announce-a-replacement-for-powell-as-fed-chair-friday-morning.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Kevin / Warsh means the market gives it about 0%.