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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298d |  arjennnnn16 fills | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,976 | +$24 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d |  PaddyAlpha2 fills | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,655 | +$50 +1.4% | 4 |
| 298d | artiste | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,361 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | 0x09fa…5b724 fills | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,958 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 298d | 0x5cb6…91e42 fills | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,895 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 298d | 0xed06…c8c1 | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,205 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 298d | 0x42a2…d2a0 | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 298d | 0x09fa…5b72 | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,417 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 298d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1629 fills | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $42,514 | +$308 +0.7% | 4 |
| 298d |  bamesjond | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,494 | +$61 +0.6% | 4 |
| 298d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,198 | +$20 +0.9% | 4 |
| 298d |  JaidenAnimations | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,525 | +$92 +2.0% | 4 |
| 298d |  ScottyNooo9 fills | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $74,057 | +$4,447 +6.0% | 4 |
| 298d |  Tigerofthehood | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $20,207 | +$539 +2.7% | 4 |
| 298d | aviato | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,332 | +$97 +4.2% | 4 |
| 298d | nennou | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,915 | −$85 −4.4% | — |
| 298d |  reticence | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | −$108 −4.3% | — |
| 298d | arttheking | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$36 +2.8% | 4 |
| 298d | 0xdamocles | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,840 | +$160 +3.3% | 4 |
| 298d |  tourists10 fills | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $32,411 | +$2,618 +8.1% | 4 |
| 298d |  truthteller2 fills | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,003 | −$296 −7.4% | — |
| 298d | degenv-eth | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyNo7¢ → 0¢ | $1,819 | −$1,819 −100% | 9 |
| 298d | Shocked-Prospect | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | −$100 −6.4% | — |
| 298d | reticence | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | +$96 +5.3% | 4 |
| 298d |  George.Smiley | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 4 |
| 298d |  PenskyMaterial | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$67 −6.4% | — |
| 298d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 4 |
| 298d |  tunatyler | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | −$220 −12% | — |
| 298d | tunatyler | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$95 +8.7% | 4 |
| 298d | BTCFudder | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,549 | −$135 −8.7% | — |
| 298d |  Parz1vaI | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,697 | +$148 +8.7% | 4 |
| 298d |  AllByMyseIf | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,550 | +$450 +9.9% | 4 |
| 298d |  Car | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,707 | −$335 −12% | — |
| 298d | Shocked-Prospect | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | +$199 +14% | 6 |
| 298d | Car | Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | +$245 +14% | 4 |
qwerty619,017 shares
Fartard2,802 shares
boneheaded2,377 sharesOn December 22, a video surfaced depicting the 2019 suicide of Jeffrey Epstein in his prison cell, sourced from the Epstein files released on December 19. https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%208/EFTA00029924.mp4 This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is definitive evidence confirming that the video is fake by January 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any federal authority of the United States formally confirms that the video has been significantly digitally altered, edited, AI-generated or augmented, or doctored to make it appear as though it is footage of Jeffrey Epstein's suicide it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the US Government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.