Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $148 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d |  x26 | SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,872 | +$145 +7.8% | 26 |
| 126d | Paul973973 | SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,100 | +$90 +8.2% | 26 |
LornaPredicts1,067 shares
mewmew1982 shares
Dr.PNL447 sharesx263,080 shares
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b041,015 sharesThe S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 2%.