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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 100% | +18 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Denis Lazavik | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hans Moke Niemann | 0% | −4 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alireza Firouzja | 0% | −18 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −13 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley So | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Praggnanandhaa R. | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anish Giri | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250d | Korath | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,643 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 250d |  John-Silver | Alireza Firouzja | SellNo>99¢ | $4,046 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | NOBODY23 | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $2,198 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | normalOne | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
| 250d | John-Silver | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$10 +0.8% | 4 |
| 251d | normalOne | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,131 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 251d | 0x6548355541158556441 | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$111 +9.9% | 6 |
| 251d | 0x6548355541158556441 | Denis Lazavik | SellNo>99¢ | $1,897 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 252d | normalOne2 fills | Denis Lazavik | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,780 | +$220 +5.8% | 5 |
| 252d | wokerjoesleeper | Denis Lazavik | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$37 +3.1% | 5 |
| 252d | Korath | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$415 +34% | 8 |
| 253d |  eCash6 fills | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $12,937 | +$1,444 +11% | 4 |
| 253d | nonkenny90 | Denis Lazavik | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$36 +3.1% | 5 |
| 254d | sweetj | Denis Lazavik | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | +$42 +3.1% | 4 |
| 254d | eCash | Denis Lazavik | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $34,577 | +$1,138 +3.3% | 4 |
| 255d | Hesychius | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$544 +36% | 6 |
| 258d | iguessiknow | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,381 | +$972 +41% | 4 |
| 269d |  NadyaSuleman | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | −$693 −54% | — |
| 271d | NadyaSuleman | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$886 +50% | 4 |
| 329d | Waterfall412 | Hans Moke Niemann | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,924 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Waterfall412 | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,157 | +$573 +27% | 4 |
| 330d |  formernorrisfan2 fills | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,934 | +$40 +0.4% | 4 |
| 333d | formernorrisfan | Wesley So | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,859 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 336d |  Allinnothing2 fills | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,413 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 336d |  m0rt | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 336d | formernorrisfan2 fills | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,036 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 351d |  lmaoyouclown | Anish Giri | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,445 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
DrugsandStolenRVs329 sharesThis market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies. If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Magnus Carlsen means the market gives it about 100%.