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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,809 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 32d | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,033 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 32d | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,056 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 32d | madmartigan5 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SellYes>99¢ | $21,347 | −$43 −0.2% | — |
| 33d | Socnrshzifbr | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 33d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,892 | +$100 +1.7% | 10 |
| 33d | jerkajerka123 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | −$71 −4.0% | — |
| 34d | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,068 | −$373 −18% | — | |
| 39d | maceman | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 40d | SnowLover7 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SellNo52¢ → 0¢ | $3,900 | +$3,900 +100% | — |
| 40d | justtryingtosurvive2 fills | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $18,066 | +$21,211 +117% | 12 |
| 42d | lava-lava2 fills | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $5,421 | −$5,421 −100% | 12 |
| 43d | madmartigan52 fills | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BuyYes23¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$7,165 +343% | 14 |
| 43d | KiernanMeister2 fills | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $8,676 | −$8,676 −100% | 10 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.