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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89d | Trustinghorse | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,569 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 91d | poli.monaco2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,106 | +$452 +11% | 20 |
| 91d | July 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,693 | +$584 +7.6% | 20 | |
| 91d | Started-with-20-USD3 fills | July 31 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,647 | +$456 +6.9% | 20 |
| 91d | lovas123 | July 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$60 +5.3% | 20 |
| 91d | JBL0203 | July 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$175 +11% | 20 |
| 91d | staflos | July 31 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$187 +18% | 20 |
| 91d | Favorite-Permafrost | July 31 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | +$356 +18% | 20 |
| 93d | July 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,223 | +$1,080 +26% | 20 | |
| 94d | poli.monaco | July 31 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$177 −18% | — |
| 103d | Akvyr2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$888 +36% | 20 |
| 103d | July 31 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$335 +29% | 20 | |
| 109d | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,334 | +$29 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 117d | June 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | −$206 −7.4% | — | |
| 117d | June 30 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $13,078 | +$6,454 +49% | 20 | |
| 117d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | June 30 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$200 +14% | 20 |
| 120d | June 30 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | −$162 −8.2% | — | |
| 121d | Nippy-Mobility | June 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | −$108 −7.3% | — |
| 122d | absol | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$54 +5.1% | 20 |
| 127d | June 30 | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $8,406 | −$4,249 −51% | — | |
| 133d | poli.monaco2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $7,770 | +$2,864 +37% | 20 |
| 135d | June 30 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $9,373 | +$4,740 +51% | 20 | |
| 136d | yeeTradez | June 30 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 20 |
| 137d | mm4ker | June 30 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$706 +47% | 20 |
| 137d | Emiac | June 30 | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | −$655 −49% | — |
| 137d | Quick-Witted-Appetiser | June 30 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $5,165 | +$2,214 +43% | 20 |
| 138d | Zoltan1985 | June 30 | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $3,525 | −$2,736 −78% | — |
| 138d | Big-Hearted-Silica | June 30 | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,185 | +$1,185 +100% | — |
| 138d | June 30 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | +$701 +45% | 20 | |
| 138d | Greenbullka12 | June 30 | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,062 | −$1,062 −100% | 20 |
| 138d | danielimre.szabo | June 30 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 |
| 138d | Emotional-Greatgrandfather | June 30 | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $2,140 | −$1,280 −60% | — |
| 138d | danielimre.szabo | June 30 | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $3,149 | −$2,078 −66% | — |
| 139d | Sampleusername88395 | June 30 | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | −$455 −40% | — |
| 139d | June 30 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$342 +30% | 20 | |
| 139d | Bogus-Reservoir | June 30 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$265 +27% | 20 |
| 141d | Emotional-Greatgrandfather | June 30 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,667 | +$752 +28% | 20 |
| 142d | Quick-Witted-Appetiser2 fills | June 30 | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $2,315 | −$1,363 −59% | — |
| 144d | boomboomfan3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $4,069 | −$4,069 −100% | 21 |
| 148d | lovas123 | June 30 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | −$1,135 −100% | 20 |
| 150d | June 30 | SellNo38¢ → 100¢ | $4,289 | −$6,918 −161% | — | |
| 150d | RuFFly | June 30 | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,958 | −$1,958 −100% | 20 |
| 151d | June 30 | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,936 +73% | 20 | |
| 152d | Big-Hearted-SilicaNew account | June 30 | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $3,721 | −$3,721 −100% | 32 |
| 152d | ehesvagyok03 fills | June 30 | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $3,676 | −$3,676 −100% | 20 |
| 158d | danielimre.szabo | June 30 | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,467 +147% | 20 |
| 159d | bigbucket255 | June 30 | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,635 | −$1,635 −100% | 20 |
| 175d | JBL02032 fills | June 30 | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $4,720 | −$4,720 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for July 31 means the market gives it about 100%.