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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hatcher | 100% | +74 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Andy Ogles | 0% | −74 pts | −74 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d |  mrworldwide | Andy Ogles | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $3,389 | −$3,389 −100% | 10 |
| 71d | 0xSuperRekt2 fills | Andy Ogles | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $3,815 | −$3,815 −100% | 12 |
| 72d |  WillieBrown2 fills | Andy Ogles | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $3,872 | −$3,872 −100% | 13 |
| 72d | Bigggggggg | Andy Ogles | SellYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,914 | +$1,914 +100% | — |
| 73d | SnowLover7 | Charlie Hatcher | BuyYes21¢ → 100¢ | $1,807 | +$6,622 +367% | 18 |
| 75d |  seal7 | Charlie Hatcher | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $2,677 | −$2,677 −100% | 12 |
seal73,602 sharesThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Charlie Hatcher means the market gives it about 100%.