Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +36 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648d | okcoolstorybro2 fills | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,939 | +$185 +3.7% | 20 |
| 648d |  Slowroasted | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,579 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 648d | mihai673 | Trudeau resigns before February? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,307 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 648d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $47,839 | +$48 +0.1% | 20 |
| 648d |  Negeto | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,337 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 648d |  debased | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,702 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 648d |  Car | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,534 | +$21 +0.4% | 20 |
| 648d | SaylorMoon2 fills | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,116 | +$220 +1.2% | 20 |
| 649d | dontbullymeillcum | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | −$1,101 −100% | 21 |
| 649d | JSK0302 fills | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,377 | +$140 +5.9% | 20 |
| 649d |  peasant2 fills | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,381 | +$203 +4.6% | 20 |
| 649d |  CitizenScientist | Trudeau resigns before February? | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | −$419 −19% | — |
| 649d |  Justifax | Trudeau resigns before February? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,915 | −$463 −7.8% | — |
| 649d | mihai673 | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,182 | +$129 +3.1% | 20 |
| 649d | Seloeded | Trudeau resigns before February? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | −$94 −5.9% | — |
| 649d | CitizenScientist | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | +$103 +4.3% | 20 |
| 649d |  RiseAndSunny2 fills | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,367 | +$183 +5.4% | 20 |
| 649d | smallcrab | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,631 | +$338 +5.1% | 20 |
| 649d | Dogsinapile | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | +$93 +6.8% | 20 |
| 649d | Ronaldo2100 | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $12,429 | +$1,324 +11% | 20 |
| 649d | zkrollup | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$170 +11% | 20 |
| 649d |  Astera | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,693 | +$307 +8.3% | 20 |
| 649d | Roger1410 | Trudeau resigns before February? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,645 | −$225 −8.5% | — |
| 650d | heuer | Trudeau resigns before February? | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$800 −79% | — |
| 651d | nonkenny90 | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,693 | −$1,693 −100% | 20 |
| 651d | Spikey90 | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 20 |
| 651d | 0x2370…0e10 | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,379 | −$2,379 −100% | 20 |
| 651d | Cbarbhwux | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $2,779 | +$5,166 +186% | 23 |
| 652d |  ScreamingEagle | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 20 |
| 653d | raybaebae | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $2,048 | −$2,048 −100% | 20 |
| 661d |  Libitum | Trudeau resigns before February? | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,405 | −$1,405 −100% | 20 |
rousseauuu18,188 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between December 16, 2024 and January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.