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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +44 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701d | Jason.Xu | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,096 | −$16 −0.5% | — |
| 701d | Moist-Locust | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes100¢ | $1,572 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 701d |  AgricultureSecretary | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,009 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | 0xc288a080d9fd922a1d7a43cc164442b784f3edb | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,181 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 701d | Alts001 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,689 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 701d |  syncope | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,214 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d |  HuhXD | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes100¢ | $1,791 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 701d | rpo2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,552 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 701d | gambler5000 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,877 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 701d | HuhXD | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,637 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,197 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 701d | Seekingalpha-563 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $28,224 | −$236 −0.8% | — |
| 701d | 0x2B495 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,193 | −$131 −0.8% | — |
| 701d | nola72324 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,985 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 701d | Nousername2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,979 | −$21 −0.3% | — |
| 701d | Super-Campaign | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,134 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 701d | back-in-whack | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,283 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 701d | Jamison | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,845 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 701d |  MrNFT | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,486 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d |  vocifer4 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $36,150 | +$4,638 +13% | 20 |
| 701d | High-ParameterNew account | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes100¢ | $2,848 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 701d |  carp | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,791 | +$119 +1.0% | 20 |
| 701d |  MMousse | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,800 | +$200 +2.0% | 20 |
| 701d |  debased | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,909 | +$90 +3.1% | 20 |
| 701d | 0xfe91…70ff3 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $3,687 | +$3,196 +87% | 20 |
| 701d |  8=====D2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $9,115 | +$3,788 +42% | 20 |
| 701d | markxc27 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 20 |
| 701d |  Axios | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo17¢ → 0¢ | $3,640 | +$3,640 +100% | — |
| 701d | Axios2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $8,164 | −$8,164 −100% | 22 |
| 701d |  50Whence4 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo39¢ → 0¢ | $5,752 | +$5,752 +100% | — |
| 701d |  WongKimArk | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $2,801 | −$2,801 −100% | 22 |
| 702d | Moist-Locust | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$578 +58% | 26 |
| 702d | Spartan37 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$789 +65% | 20 |
| 702d | Jason.Xu | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,112 +56% | 20 |
| 702d | Spot-343 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $3,355 | +$2,237 +67% | 20 |
| 702d | coffeedestroyer | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$1,224 +71% | 20 |
| 702d | ddyypo | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | −$1,021 −83% | — |
| 702d | scrapbook | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | −$2,627 −111% | — |
| 702d | lava-lava | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,626 | −$1,626 −100% | 20 |
| 703d | scrapbook | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $2,695 | +$2,295 +85% | 20 |
| 703d |  Andy-Beshear | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | +$1,206 +100% | — |
| 703d | goog11 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,869 | −$2,025 −108% | — |
| 703d |  just.some.guy2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $3,358 | +$3,358 +100% | — |
| 703d |  mr.ozi | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo53¢ → 0¢ | $6,815 | +$6,815 +100% | — |
| 703d | vocifer | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,592 | +$1,592 +100% | — |
| 703d | dangg4 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $12,667 | +$11,342 +90% | 20 |
| 703d | randomtrader1 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,574 | +$1,574 +100% | — |
| 703d | RD292 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $4,485 | +$4,485 +100% | — |
| 703d | mr.ozi2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $3,671 | −$3,671 −100% | 20 |
| 703d | High-ParameterNew account | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,863 +186% | 35 |
| 703d | ketib2 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes26¢ → 100¢ | $3,864 | −$11,201 −290% | — |
| 703d |  0xPolymath | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellYes27¢ → 100¢ | $3,613 | −$9,779 −271% | — |
| 703d | lug2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $3,583 | −$3,583 −100% | 20 |
| 704d |  UncleSmurf | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,195 | −$1,195 −100% | 20 |
| 704d | just.some.guy2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $2,991 | −$2,991 −100% | 22 |
| 704d | goog11 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,394 +56% | 20 |
| 704d | Seekingalpha-563 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $20,568 | +$7,892 +38% | 20 |
| 705d |  Plus-EV | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $5,954 | +$3,106 +52% | 20 |
| 705d | ASOFE2 fills | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $2,891 | +$2,891 +100% | — |
| 706d | gambler5000 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,906 +58% | 20 |
Nounito130 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and nominates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for a Cabinet position by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.