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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 74% | — | −7 pts | 73¢ · 74¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Atlético Madrid | 35% | — | +9 pts | 34¢ · 36¢ (2¢) | — | in 154d |
| Liverpool | 52% | −1 pts | −14 pts | 51¢ · 52¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Barcelona | 78% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 76¢ · 79¢ (3¢) | — | in 154d |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 77% | — | +4 pts | 76¢ · 77¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Bodø/Glimt | 13% | 0 pts | −10 pts | 10¢ · 17¢ (7¢) | — | in 154d |
| Villarreal | 19% | +4 pts | +12 pts | 13¢ · 24¢ (11¢) | — | in 154d |
| RB Leipzig | 14% | +3 pts | −2 pts | 13¢ · 16¢ (3¢) | — | in 154d |
| PSV Eindhoven | 12% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 10¢ · 13¢ (3¢) | — | in 154d |
| Borussia Dortmund | 26% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 25¢ · 26¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Lens | 11% | — | −3 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Inter Milan | 30% | −1 pts | −13 pts | 29¢ · 31¢ (2¢) | — | in 154d |
| Slavia Prague | 10% | −4 pts | +3 pts | 1¢ · 20¢ (19¢) | — | in 154d |
| Fenerbahçe | 6% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (<1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Manchester United | 12% | −1 pts | −19 pts | 5¢ · 19¢ (14¢) | — | in 154d |
| Napoli | 19% | +13 pts | +9 pts | 13¢ · 24¢ (11¢) | $346 | in 154d |
| Roma | 16% | −4 pts | −5 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Bayern Munich | 68% | — | −11 pts | 67¢ · 69¢ (2¢) | — | in 154d |
| Sabah | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Galatasaray | 2% | −4 pts | −4 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 154d |
| Slovan Bratislava | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| LASK | 6% | — | −2 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 154d |
| Manchester City | 61% | — | −6 pts | 60¢ · 61¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Lille | 4% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 154d |
| Sporting CP | 25% | — | +3 pts | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Viking | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 154d |
| VfB Stuttgart | 24% | +16 pts | +14 pts | 2¢ · 46¢ (44¢) | — | in 154d |
| Aston Villa | 56% | +10 pts | +32 pts | 46¢ · 66¢ (20¢) | $40 | in 154d |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 5% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | $30 | in 154d |
| AEK Athens | 7% | — | −1 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 154d |
| Feyenoord | 10% | — | +4 pts | 2¢ · 18¢ (16¢) | — | in 154d |
| Como | 13% | — | −4 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 154d |
| Arsenal | 78% | — | −2 pts | 77¢ · 78¢ (1¢) | $10.3 | in 154d |
| Porto | 12% | −2 pts | +2 pts | 3¢ · 21¢ (18¢) | — | in 154d |
| Real Betis | 25% | — | +8 pts | 13¢ · 36¢ (23¢) | — | in 154d |
| Club Brugge | 12% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 10¢ · 14¢ (4¢) | — | in 154d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | neutralwave232 fills | Real Madrid | BuyYes76¢ → 74¢ | $10,259 | −$289 −2.8% | 4 |
| 13d | neutralwave23 | Barcelona | BuyYes82¢ → 78¢ | $2,354 | −$129 −5.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 74¢ for Real Madrid means the market gives it about 74%.