| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 2,769 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $429 | −$69 −14% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 301 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $203 | −$17 −7.5% |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 112d | No | 223 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $170 | −$18 −9.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 449 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $128 | −$7 −4.8% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 169 | 87¢ → 76¢ | $128 | −$19 −13% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 430 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $123 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 160 | 75¢ → 70¢ | $111 | −$9 −7.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 112 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $108 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 417 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $102 | −$18 −15% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 200 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.0% |
| GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 109 | 89¢ → 83¢ | $90 | −$7 −7.3% |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 98 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $90 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 239 | 37¢ → 36¢ | $85 | −$4 −4.1% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 120 | 77¢ → 67¢ | $80 | −$13 −14% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 25d | Yes | 169 | 51¢ → 38¢ | $63 | −$23 −26% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 72 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $56 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 60 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $55 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 70 | 86¢ → 78¢ | $54 | −$6 −9.9% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 271 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $47 | −$12 −20% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Ends in 45d | No | 63 | 78¢ → 72¢ | $45 | −$4 −7.6% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $40 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 57 | 78¢ → 70¢ | $40 | −$5 −10% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | No | 96 | 56¢ → 41¢ | $39 | −$14 −27% |
| Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 93 | 50¢ → 41¢ | $38 | −$8 −18% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 44 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $38 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 87 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $37 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 210d | No | 69 | 57¢ → 54¢ | $37 | −$2 −6.1% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 350 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $37 | −$9 −19% |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | Yes | 558 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $35 | −$12 −25% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 216 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $33 | −$3 −8.8% |
| Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 65¢ | $32 | −$10 −23% |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 59 | 61¢ → 52¢ | $31 | −$5 −15% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 82 | 40¢ → 37¢ | $30 | −$3 −8.8% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?Ends in 153d | No | 122 | 28¢ → 24¢ | $29 | −$5 −16% |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 239d | Yes | 87 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $28 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 504 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $28 | −$13 −31% |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 52 | 56¢ → 51¢ | $27 | −$3 −8.9% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Ends in 256d | No | 28 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $26 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 36 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | Yes | 377 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $25 | −$12 −32% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 40 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $25 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?Ends in 17d | No | 64 | 72¢ → 39¢ | $25 | −$21 −46% |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?Ends in 66d | No | 60 | 64¢ → 42¢ | $25 | −$14 −35% |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Ends in 10d | Opp. | 60 | 41¢ → 40¢ | $24 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 87 | 69¢ → 27¢ | $23 | −$37 −61% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 121d | Yes | 34 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $23 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 62 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $23 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 27 | 91¢ → 83¢ | $23 | −$2 −9.3% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 40 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $23 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will Talya Lankri be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 134d | Yes | 264 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $22 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | No | 414 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $22 | −$10 −31% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 16d | No | 37 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $21 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 26 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $21 | −$1 −5.4% |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 8d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $19 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 142 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $19 | −$13 −41% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 27 | 83¢ → 70¢ | $19 | −$3 −15% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 8¢ → 32¢ | $19 | +$14 +278% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $19 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 68 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $19 | −$5 −21% |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 63¢ → 61¢ | $18 | −$1 −4.0% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 25 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $17 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 33 | 58¢ → 48¢ | $16 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?Ends in 8d | No | 21 | 84¢ → 74¢ | $15 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 25 | 69¢ → 61¢ | $15 | −$2 −12% |
| Will TCU have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 70d | No | 32 | 69¢ → 47¢ | $15 | −$7 −32% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 18 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $15 | −$1 −4.0% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?Ends in 90d | Yes | 41 | 44¢ → 37¢ | $15 | −$3 −17% |
| Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | Yes | 272 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $15 | −$12 −45% |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 389 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 210d | No | 98 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $14 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 15 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $14 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Ends in 240d | Yes | 116 | 25¢ → 12¢ | $13 | −$16 −54% |
| Will the Chicago Bears have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 121d | Yes | 24 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $13 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?Ends in 3d | No | 20 | 77¢ → 67¢ | $13 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 250?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 62¢ | $12 | −$3 −21% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 53 | 34¢ → 23¢ | $12 | −$6 −32% |
| Will Macklin Celebrini record 100+ points?Ends in 194d | Yes | 24 | 71¢ → 49¢ | $12 | −$5 −31% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 121d | No | 57 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $12 | −$3 −18% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 136 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $12 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Buffalo Sabres be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Ends in 256d | Yes | 229 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $11 | −$8 −42% |
| Will Texas make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?Ends in 88d | Yes | 19 | 68¢ → 57¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Unai Simón (Athletic Club) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 240d | No | 12 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 24% to 28%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 96 | 27¢ → 11¢ | $10 | −$16 −61% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 15 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Arsenal finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 244d | No | 12 | 88¢ → 80¢ | $10 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 19 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$2 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 753 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$18 −65% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 49 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$4 −31% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 34 | 18¢ → 26¢ | $9 | +$3 +44% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?Ends in 61d | No | 20 | 50¢ → 43¢ | $9 | −$1 −14% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | Yes | 12 | 76¢ → 71¢ | $8 | −$1 −7.2% |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 60 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 134d | Yes | 77 | 3¢ → 11¢ | $8 | +$6 +246% |
| Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 50 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $8 | −$2 −16% |
| Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 64 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $8 | −$7 −46% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 30¢ → 25¢ | $8 | −$2 −17% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 210d | No | 71 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $8 | −$6 −45% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 22 | 4¢ → 33¢ | $7 | +$6 +712% |
