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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-34 | 34% | +8 pts | −1 pts | 26¢ · 42¢ (16¢) | $16.6 | in 22d |
| 35-39 | 33% | −5 pts | −4 pts | 32¢ · 33¢ (1¢) | $6.29 | in 22d |
| 40-44 | 33% | +2 pts | +9 pts | 23¢ · 42¢ (19¢) | — | in 22d |
| 25-29 | 9% | −1 pts | +8 pts | 1¢ · 18¢ (17¢) | — | in 22d |
| 45-49 | 7% | +7 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 14¢ (13¢) | — | in 22d |
| <25 | 4% | 0 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 22d |
| 50+ | 3% | 0 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 22d |
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nicoco89399 shares
LornaPredicts76 shares
Rasalgethi71 sharesA general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 34¢ for 30-34 means the market gives it about 34%.