wozaitaibei

Polymarket wallet 0xdad7bf909828fdb0f61afa40c0a269bb5daa005a · on Polymarket since Jun 19, 2026 · also shown as Watchful-Explanation

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $1.31K
All-time profit: +$41.5
Volume traded: $54.8K
All-time rank: #326,378
Markets traded: 510
Recent hit rate: 100%50 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $1.3K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	330	59¢ → 87¢	$285	+$91 +47%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	190	51¢ → 97¢	$184	+$86 +88%
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d	Yes	150	37¢ → 57¢	$86	+$30 +54%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	95	14¢ → 67¢	$63	+$50 +373%
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	70	49¢ → 69¢	$48	+$14 +41%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	330	20¢ → 14¢	$45	−$22 −33%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 85d	Yes	65	32¢ → 66¢	$43	+$22 +105%
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ends in 85d	Yes	45	59¢ → 93¢	$42	+$15 +58%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 103d	Yes	80	11¢ → 51¢	$40	+$32 +373%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Ends in 103d	Yes	80	64¢ → 47¢	$38	−$13 −26%
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d	Yes	150	27¢ → 21¢	$32	−$8 −21%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 440d	Yes	55	37¢ → 55¢	$30	+$10 +49%
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d	Yes	150	18¢ → 19¢	$28	+$1 +5.3%
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	35	69¢ → 78¢	$27	+$3 +12%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Ends in 87d	Yes	40	36¢ → 61¢	$24	+$10 +71%
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	45	9¢ → 45¢	$20	+$16 +397%
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	45	29¢ → 42¢	$19	+$6 +43%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Ends in 85d	Yes	65	22¢ → 27¢	$17	+$3 +22%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	95	21¢ → 14¢	$14	−$6 −32%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 440d	Yes	55	25¢ → 23¢	$13	−$1 −8.0%
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	45	2¢ → 28¢	$13	+$12 +1172%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	95	8¢ → 13¢	$12	+$5 +59%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	70	16¢ → 17¢	$12	+$1 +6.3%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	45	20¢ → 25¢	$11	+$2 +25%
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	45	19¢ → 24¢	$11	+$2 +27%
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 14d	Yes	10	83¢ → 93¢	$9	+$1 +12%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Ends in 87d	Yes	40	9¢ → 17¢	$7	+$3 +84%
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	45	24¢ → 16¢	$7	−$4 −35%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Ends in 87d	Yes	40	29¢ → 14¢	$6	−$6 −50%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	65	30¢ → 9¢	$6	−$14 −71%
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	45	9¢ → 11¢	$5	+$1 +33%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	15	10¢ → 34¢	$5	+$4 +240%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	15	26¢ → 33¢	$5	+$1 +27%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	10	70¢ → 48¢	$5	−$2 −32%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	15	30¢ → 31¢	$5	+$0 +3.3%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1550.00 and 1599.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	10	3¢ → 46¢	$5	+$4 +1632%
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	35	4¢ → 11¢	$4	+$3 +186%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	10	38¢ → 39¢	$4	+$0 +2.7%
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	45	17¢ → 9¢	$4	−$4 −49%
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	35	2¢ → 10¢	$4	+$3 +593%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Ends in 439d	Yes	55	8¢ → 6¢	$3	−$1 −19%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	Yes	10	26¢ → 31¢	$3	+$0 +17%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	Yes	10	31¢ → 28¢	$3	−$0 −12%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 440d	Yes	55	10¢ → 5¢	$3	−$3 −50%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	10	16¢ → 27¢	$3	+$1 +70%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?Ends in 85d	Yes	65	8¢ → 4¢	$2	−$3 −56%
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	Yes	10	13¢ → 23¢	$2	+$1 +73%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	190	10¢ → 1¢	$2	−$16 −89%
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d	Yes	150	6¢ → 1¢	$2	−$7 −79%
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	35	11¢ → 6¢	$2	−$2 −52%
Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	45	2¢ → 4¢	$2	+$1 +78%
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ends in 85d	Yes	45	17¢ → 4¢	$2	−$6 −77%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 439d	Yes	55	13¢ → 3¢	$2	−$5 −75%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?Ends in 87d	Yes	40	5¢ → 4¢	$2	−$0 −13%
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	45	42¢ → 4¢	$2	−$17 −91%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Ends in 74d	Yes	5	14¢ → 34¢	$2	+$1 +139%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	95	30¢ → 2¢	$2	−$27 −94%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Ends in 74d	Yes	5	19¢ → 30¢	$1	+$1 +55%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	95	9¢ → 2¢	$1	−$7 −82%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	190	3¢ → 1¢	$1	−$4 −77%
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	15	7¢ → 8¢	$1	+$0 +15%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	330	1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$2 −68%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	330	11¢ → <1¢	$1	−$35 −97%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d	Yes	10	18¢ → 11¢	$1	−$1 −39%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Ends in 103d	Yes	75	8¢ → 1¢	$1	−$5 −81%
Will the Labour Party win 50-54 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	45	7¢ → 2¢	$1	−$2 −69%
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	35	3¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −29%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?Ends in 74d	Yes	5	8¢ → 17¢	$1	+$0 +123%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	190	7¢ → <1¢	$1	−$13 −94%
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ends in 85d	Yes	45	3¢ → 2¢	$1	−$1 −48%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	190	3¢ → <1¢	$1	−$6 −88%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	190	13¢ → <1¢	$1	−$24 −97%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Ends in 87d	Yes	40	6¢ → 2¢	$1	−$2 −71%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	95	1¢ → 1¢	$1	+$0 +26%
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?Ends in 14d	Yes	10	2¢ → 7¢	$1	+$0 +179%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	Yes	190	6¢ → <1¢	$1	−$11 −94%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?Ends in 85d	Yes	65	5¢ → 1¢	$1	−$3 −80%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	10	1¢ → 6¢	$1	+$1 +417%
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ends in 85d	Yes	45	8¢ → 1¢	$1	−$3 −83%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000?Ends in 74d	Yes	5	6¢ → 12¢	$1	+$0 +112%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?Ends in 74d	Yes	5	14¢ → 12¢	$1	−$0 −17%
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	15	13¢ → 4¢	$1	−$1 −70%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	10	14¢ → 6¢	$1	−$1 −59%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?Ends in 85d	Yes	65	8¢ → 1¢	$1	−$4 −89%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	10	5¢ → 6¢	$1	+$0 +3.8%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	10	4¢ → 6¢	$1	+$0 +42%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1250.00 and 1299.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	10	3¢ → 5¢	$1	+$0 +82%
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	35	2¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −33%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1350.00 and 1399.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	10	4¢ → 5¢	$1	+$0 +24%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1300.00 and 1349.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	10	1¢ → 5¢	$1	+$0 +444%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	330	3¢ → <1¢	$0	−$8 −94%
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d	Yes	45	10¢ → 1¢	$0	−$4 −89%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?Ends in 74d	Yes	5	27¢ → 10¢	$0	−$1 −65%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?Ends in 85d	Yes	65	7¢ → 1¢	$0	−$4 −90%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?Ends in 74d	Yes	5	2¢ → 8¢	$0	+$0 +388%
Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d	Yes	15	6¢ → 3¢	$0	−$0 −53%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?Ends in 85d	Yes	65	12¢ → 1¢	$0	−$7 −95%
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	35	2¢ → 1¢	$0	−$0 −43%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	10	8¢ → 4¢	$0	−$0 −54%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	95	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −71%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
104d	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?	BuyYes2¢	$0
104d	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?	BuyYes6¢	$0
104d	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?	BuyYes6¢	$0
104d	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	BuyYes82¢	$4
104d	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?	BuyYes5¢	$0
104d	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	BuyYes84¢	$4
104d	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?	BuyYes2¢	$0
104d	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?	BuyYes6¢	$0
104d	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
104d	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	BuyYes2¢	$0
104d	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	BuyYes2¢	$0
104d	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
104d	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
104d	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	BuyYes2¢	$0
104d	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
104d	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$1
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes13¢	$1
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes36¢	$2
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$1
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes4¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$1
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$1
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes36¢	$2
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$1
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes4¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$1
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes1¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes35¢	$2
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$0
105d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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