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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Pimblett | 74% | +9 pts | +26 pts | 72¢ · 76¢ (4¢) | $89.5 | in 242d |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 14% | — | −12 pts | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | $29.5 | in 242d |
| Justin Gaethje | 13% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 11¢ · 15¢ (4¢) | $29.5 | — |
| Benoit Saint Denis | 4% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | $29.5 | in 242d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 74¢ for Paddy Pimblett means the market gives it about 74%.