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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +7 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156d | Blank-Initialize | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,319 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 156d |  George.Smiley | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,203 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 156d | George.Smiley2 fills | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,259 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 |
| 156d |  mrworldwide | May 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$45 +4.1% | 20 |
| 156d |  knrad | May 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$95 +8.1% | 20 |
| 230d | Trustinghorse | February 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,239 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | George.Smiley | February 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,471 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 230d | Trustinghorse2 fills | February 28 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,608 | +$420 +7.5% | 20 |
| 237d | AJM96 | February 28 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$44 −3.8% | — |
| 243d | jconfusedpinetree | February 28 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$113 −11% | — |
| 246d | Leidyhammer | February 28 | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,176 | −$1,176 −100% | 21 |
| 250d | AJM962 fills | February 28 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,657 | +$1,453 +55% | 20 |
| 250d | AJM96 | February 28 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,271 | −$1,271 −100% | 20 |
ydxistheking932 shares
imalittlelamb907 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for February 28 means the market gives it about 0%.