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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 20% | +2 pts | −1 pts | 11¢ · 28¢ (17¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | nvdaqqq4 fills | December 31 | BuyNo79¢ → 81¢ | $15,934 | +$201 +1.3% | 4 |
| 47d | nvdaqqq2 fills | December 31 | SellNo20¢ → 81¢ | $2,000 | −$6,050 −303% | — |
| 107d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,940 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 121d | LJa7io23MCv954j | US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$158 +11% | 4 |
paddaa78 shares
silverstud15 shares
Belgaron4 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 20¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 20%.