| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 1,644 | 70¢ → 64¢ | $1,052 | −$94 −8.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 822 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $497 | +$6 +1.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 696 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $435 | −$3 −0.8% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d | No | 513 | 92¢ → 83¢ | $423 | −$50 −11% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 577 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $418 | +$20 +4.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 621 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $395 | −$3 −0.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 379 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $326 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 467 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $316 | +$4 +1.4% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 348 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $304 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 333 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $286 | +$41 +17% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 346 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $279 | +$16 +5.9% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 305 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $260 | −$5 −1.8% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 283 | 75¢ → 67¢ | $188 | −$24 −11% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 427 | 33¢ → 43¢ | $181 | +$42 +31% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 440d | Yes | 235 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $141 | −$15 −9.7% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 226 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $137 | −$21 −13% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 233 | 69¢ → 59¢ | $136 | −$25 −15% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 166 | 88¢ → 80¢ | $132 | −$15 −10.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 383 | 55¢ → 34¢ | $130 | −$79 −38% |
| Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Ends ended | No | 124 | 64¢ → 99¢ | $123 | +$43 +54% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 134 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $119 | +$6 +5.4% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 115 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $109 | +$13 +13% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 117 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $103 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 228 | 54¢ → 34¢ | $78 | −$45 −37% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 75d | No | 79 | 12¢ → 97¢ | $77 | +$67 +721% |
| Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 78 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $77 | +$16 +26% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 81 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $73 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 292 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $71 | −$69 −49% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 357 | 32¢ → 19¢ | $68 | −$47 −41% |
| Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 86 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $60 | −$2 −3.4% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 83 | 36¢ → 72¢ | $59 | +$30 +99% |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 74 | 53¢ → 80¢ | $59 | +$20 +51% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 133 | 68¢ → 44¢ | $58 | −$31 −35% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 78 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $58 | −$5 −7.4% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 101 | 36¢ → 56¢ | $57 | +$20 +56% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 440d | No | 58 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $55 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 71 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $50 | $0 0.0% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 64 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $49 | −$3 −4.9% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 144 | 44¢ → 34¢ | $48 | −$15 −24% |
| Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 58 | 96¢ → 79¢ | $46 | −$10 −18% |
| Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Ends in 18d | No | 89 | 58¢ → 51¢ | $45 | −$7 −13% |
| Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 61 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $44 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 71 | 50¢ → 61¢ | $43 | +$7 +21% |
| Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?Ends in 8d | No | 46 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $42 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 55 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $42 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 189 | 57¢ → 21¢ | $39 | −$70 −64% |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | Yes | 42 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $37 | +$6 +20% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $35 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 361 | 51¢ → 10¢ | $34 | −$149 −81% |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | Yes | 36 | 18¢ → 94¢ | $34 | +$28 +436% |
| Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 44 | 90¢ → 77¢ | $34 | −$6 −15% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 160 | 36¢ → 21¢ | $33 | −$25 −44% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 48 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 78 | 45¢ → 41¢ | $32 | −$4 −10% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 297 | 17¢ → 11¢ | $31 | −$20 −39% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 44 | 95¢ → 68¢ | $30 | −$12 −29% |
| Will Ibrahim Abba Gana win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 31 | >99¢ → 95¢ | $29 | −$1 −4.6% |
| Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Ends ended | No | 31 | 54¢ → 92¢ | $29 | +$12 +69% |
| Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 38 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $28 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 68 | 91¢ → 41¢ | $27 | −$34 −56% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 28 | 60¢ → 94¢ | $27 | +$10 +57% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 141 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $25 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 34 | 84¢ → 73¢ | $25 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 46 | 63¢ → 55¢ | $25 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 26 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $25 | +$5 +23% |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Ends in 255d | Yes | 25 | 39¢ → 97¢ | $25 | +$15 +152% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d | No | 32 | 49¢ → 75¢ | $24 | +$8 +51% |
| Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Ends ended | Yes | 27 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $22 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 33 | 90¢ → 68¢ | $22 | −$7 −25% |
| Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Ends in 7d | No | 38 | 52¢ → 59¢ | $22 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | No | 23 | 26¢ → 96¢ | $22 | +$16 +268% |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 102 | 75¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$55 −72% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 128 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $21 | −$13 −38% |
| Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Ends ended | Yes | 28 | 80¢ → 75¢ | $21 | −$1 −6.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 143 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $21 | −$5 −19% |
| Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 25 | 96¢ → 80¢ | $20 | −$4 −16% |
| Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$3 +15% |
| Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 39¢ | $19 | −$25 −57% |
| Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 49 | 90¢ → 40¢ | $19 | −$24 −56% |
| Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 26 | 79¢ → 74¢ | $19 | −$1 −6.7% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 19 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 32 | 72¢ → 56¢ | $18 | −$5 −22% |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 23 | 37¢ → 79¢ | $18 | +$10 +113% |
| Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $17 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 18 | 67¢ → 96¢ | $17 | +$5 +44% |
| Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 19 | 59¢ → 88¢ | $17 | +$6 +49% |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 24 | 58¢ → 70¢ | $17 | +$3 +19% |
| Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Ends in 11d | No | 23 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Ends in 7d | No | 23 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 114 | 35¢ → 14¢ | $15 | −$25 −62% |
| Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 51 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $15 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 47 | 42¢ → 31¢ | $15 | −$5 −27% |
| Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 41 | 58¢ → 35¢ | $14 | −$10 −40% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,568 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$5 −26% |
| Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 24 | 55¢ → 56¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 71 | 32¢ → 19¢ | $13 | −$9 −41% |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 18d | Yes | 158 | 50¢ → 9¢ | $13 | −$66 −83% |
| Will Alfonso Martínez Alcázar win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 14 | >99¢ → 95¢ | $13 | −$1 −4.5% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.6% |
