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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $32,188 | −$32 −0.1% | — | |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,413 | −$207 −0.8% | — | |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,898 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 577d | CompulsiveGambler | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,204 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $29,960 | −$40 −0.1% | — | |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,823 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $107,002 | +$263 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $65,148 | −$65 −0.1% | — | |
| 577d | Susukak | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,139 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $47,655 | −$178 −0.4% | — | |
| 577d | Nowhere-Man | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,974 | −$21 −0.2% | — | |
| 577d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,926 | −$9 −0.1% | — | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $52,083 | −$397 −0.8% | — | |
| 578d | m20241223 | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,999 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 578d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,005 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 578d | VvVv4 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $44,456 | +$45 +0.1% | 4 |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $301,989 | +$302 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 578d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,761 | +$26 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,178 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 578d | rpo | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,934 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,996 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,550 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $23,777 | −$48 −0.2% | — | |
| 578d | winner125 | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $43,644 | −$637 −1.5% | — | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,786 | −$14 −0.2% | — | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,056 | −$6 −0.2% | — | |
| 578d | Isaak👴4 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,830 | −$33 −0.3% | — |
| 578d | 0330330333 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $87,839 | +$176 +0.2% | 4 |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $33,550 | +$67 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 578d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,252 | +$25 +0.2% | 4 |
| 578d | wubddh | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,581 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,191 | −$17 −0.3% | — | |
| 578d | m20241223 | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 578d | Ordon | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,774 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,970 | −$30 −0.3% | — | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $65,018 | +$196 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,326 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $220,297 | +$5,803 +2.6% | 5 | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,451 | +$18 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 578d | FedFan2 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,371 | +$73 +0.3% | 4 |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,866 | +$24 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,870 | +$30 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 578d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,213 | −$9 −0.4% | — | |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,721 | +$92 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,397 | −$14 −0.4% | — | |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,400 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,078 | +$33 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 579d | betterthantreasuries | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,125 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,884 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $167,865 | +$2,200 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,241 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $23,873 | −$112 −0.5% | — | |
| 579d | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,980 | +$20 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 579d | Liquidifier2 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | SellYes>99¢ | $50,998 | −$250 −0.5% | — |
| 579d | whatisthisclownmarket | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes100¢ | $19,762 | +$99 +0.5% | 4 |
| 579d | Kiryas | U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.