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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | — | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137d | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $23,197 | −$23 −0.1% | — | |
| 137d | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $99,900 | −$100 −0.1% | — | |
| 137d | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,145 | −$14 −0.1% | — | |
| 138d | thesuperforecaster | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,042 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 138d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,002 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 138d | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 138d | jklsjdwoqejasdf | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,903 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 138d | Shy-Ocean | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 138d | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,391 | −$4 −0.3% | — | |
| 138d | Bite-Sized-Princess3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $50,808 | +$76 +0.1% | 4 |
| 138d | perroperro | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 138d | Bite-Sized-Princess2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,204 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 138d | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $122,644 | −$123 −0.1% | — | |
| 138d | pretzel | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,119 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 |
| 138d | May 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $237,953 | +$7,267 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 138d | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $98,189 | +$773 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 138d | May 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,949 | −$105 −0.7% | — | |
| 138d | tutrucks | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,147 | −$53 −0.4% | — |
| 138d | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,408 | −$4 −0.3% | — | |
| 138d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,196 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 138d | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,762 | +$41 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 138d | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,021 | +$90 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 138d | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,958 | +$34 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 138d | McLov1n | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$25 +1.2% | 4 |
| 138d | McLov1n | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$20 +1.7% | 4 |
| 138d | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $23,331 | +$588 +2.5% | 4 | |
| 139d | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,997 | +$70 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 139d | MrAgentSmith | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$28 +2.1% | 4 |
| 139d | MrAgentSmith | May 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,693 | +$129 +3.5% | 4 |
| 139d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | May 31 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | −$164 −9.3% | — |
| 139d | May 31 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,736 | −$420 −8.9% | — | |
| 139d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | May 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | +$129 +8.7% | 4 |
| 139d | tutrucks3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,840 | +$525 +7.7% | 4 |
| 139d | May 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$342 +9.1% | 4 | |
| 139d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96042 fills | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,260 | +$124 +3.8% | 4 |
| 139d | May 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,246 | +$184 +8.2% | 4 | |
| 139d | May 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,765 | +$156 +5.6% | 4 | |
| 139d | May 31 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,482 | −$1,482 −100% | 5 | |
| 139d | jklsjdwoqejasdf3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,079 | +$140 +2.8% | 4 |
| 139d | Informal-Budget | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,024 | +$172 +0.7% | 4 |
| 139d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,050 | +$214 +1.1% | 4 |
| 139d | Extra-Small-Weapon | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,773 | +$59 +1.2% | 4 |
| 139d | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$59 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 139d | Taut-Witness-ScraperNew account | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,983 | +$185 +1.5% | 4 |
| 139d | May 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$73 +7.0% | 4 | |
| 139d | May 31 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,971 | −$511 −7.3% | — | |
| 139d | June 30 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | −$56 −3.7% | — | |
| 140d | ExDeus3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,103 | +$126 +3.1% | 4 |
| 140d | May 31 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | −$91 −7.9% | — | |
| 140d | May 31 | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | −$1,204 −74% | — | |
| 140d | June 30 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | −$134 −11% | — | |
| 140d | pkz | May 31 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | −$43 −2.8% | — |
| 140d | June 30 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$1,283 +46% | 4 | |
| 143d | M2sx92kljs42 | May 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | −$1,039 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 100%.