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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | JeromePowellUK | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,380 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | MarkLuis | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $15,214 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | newt2 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,386 | +$32 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d | hubtc4003 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,948 | +$62 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,747 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 292d | somebodyknow | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 297d |  avenger | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,493 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 298d | criminalonchain | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,000 | +$30 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | xule3 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,067 | +$72 +0.4% | 2 |
| 302d | snowmann4 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,256 | +$89 +1.2% | 2 |
| 310d | big6big8 | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 310d | southfly2 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,772 | +$154 +2.0% | 2 |
| 316d | kevin-airdrop | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,959 | −$41 −1.4% | — |
| 317d | topsonrock | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 320d | chengpengzhao | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,061 | +$34 +1.6% | 2 |
| 321d | cybermariuss | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,964 | +$36 +1.2% | 2 |
| 324d | big6big8 | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,574 | +$26 +1.6% | 2 |
| 329d | vsokinx3 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $27,582 | +$1,110 +4.0% | 2 |
| 329d | Serene-GaloshesNew account | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$37 +3.1% | 2 |
| 336d | theman999 | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,543 | +$76 +3.0% | 2 |
| 339d | kirillostrovski | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$223 +4.5% | 2 |
| 340d | avenger | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,914 | +$86 +4.5% | 2 |
| 340d | JanAMEX | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | +$77 +4.7% | 2 |
| 345d | 0x1337 | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$36 +2.8% | 2 |
| 347d | kfdhvgkfdg9 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $38,650 | +$950 +2.5% | 2 |
| 347d | brunt13 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $32,959 | +$741 +2.2% | 2 |
| 348d | ityjbfert3 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,481 | +$119 +1.8% | 2 |
| 356d | shakethehandthatfeeds2 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,564 | +$42 +1.2% | 2 |
| 388d |  DEGENKHAN | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | −$61 −3.0% | — |
| 406d | DEGENKHAN | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$35 +3.0% | 2 |
| 407d | MarkLuis | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,519 | +$710 +4.9% | 2 |
| 409d |  MegaPump | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 2 |
| 409d | shorting | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,088 | +$163 +5.3% | 2 |
| 446d | shorting | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | −$89 −7.5% | — |
| 463d |  BarryLime | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | −$113 −7.4% | — |
| 494d | Niseko | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | −$148 −7.5% | — |
| 495d |  sayanghae | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | −$83 −7.5% | — |
| 499d | JeromePowellUK2 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,876 | +$509 +10% | 2 |
| 504d | kiki21567 | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,410 | +$890 +12% | 2 |
| 527d | Niseko | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 2 |
| 543d | Morder | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | −$195 −15% | — |
| 560d | 0xTrinity | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,446 | −$655 −7.8% | — |
| 564d | sky122 | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | +$1,199 +100% | — |
| 571d |  jinghong | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,394 | −$1,394 −100% | 4 |
| 576d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,648 | +$1,173 +18% | 2 |
| 582d | fkuUMA | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$345 +18% | 2 |
| 584d | BarryLime | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$280 +20% | 2 |
| 585d | sky1223 fills | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $5,240 | −$5,240 −100% | 12 |
| 603d |  sab11R | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$242 −16% | — |
| 617d | Shminni | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,580 | +$420 +16% | 2 |
| 621d | sab11R | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$231 +15% | 2 |
| 623d | 0xbaa5 | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | +$322 +18% | 2 |
| 632d | Smallpeepee | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$562 +19% | 2 |
| 638d |  Anon1792681 | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,158 | −$411 −19% | — |
| 646d | 0xTrinity | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,945 | +$1,323 +19% | 2 |
| 646d | Morder | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$240 +19% | 2 |
| 646d | x9088c02 | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,682 | +$1,682 +100% | — |
| 647d |  Car | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $7,086 | −$1,451 −20% | — |
| 647d |  CarJunior | USDT depeg in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$208 +19% | 2 |
| 651d | degens9 | USDT depeg in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | −$286 −20% | — |
MetaDon5,000 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Coinbase 1 minute candles for USDT-USD for any 24 hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 01 Jan '25 00:00 and 31 Dec '25 23:59 in the ET timezone. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e. 0.97999 or lower). A 24h period of USDT below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2025 will count. The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the USDT-USD “High” prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/spot/USDT-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase USDT-USD. If Coinbase stops having the necessary USDT information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDT was below 98 cents for 24h+ may be used to resolve this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.