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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $105,000 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $95,000 | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $90,000 | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $110,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $65,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $85,000 | 100% | +42 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $150,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $120,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $77,500 | 100% | +11 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $60,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $82,500 | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $80,000 | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $87,500 | 100% | +48 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| $130,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $140,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $67,500 | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $75,000 | 100% | +37 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $72,500 | 100% | +27 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685d | Vilgefortz | $130,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,318 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | Khan1407 | $105,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,272 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | kara1118 | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,078 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | MARS-degen3 fills | $105,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,863 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Rookieoftheyear | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $17,042 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | Economancy | $65,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,567 | −$109 −0.6% | — |
| 685d | Economancy | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | Shawn_2022 | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | cansupermuay | $150,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,683 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | elPolloLoco7 fills | $110,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,245 | −$174 −0.7% | — |
| 685d | leiger | $65,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,568 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | pmuser6 fills | $150,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $51,388 | −$131 −0.3% | — |
| 685d | pmuser3 fills | $140,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,003 | −$53 −0.3% | — |
| 685d | EscalateFund | $110,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,881 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 685d | pettyfool2 fills | $105,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,628 | −$58 −1.3% | — |
| 685d | nonkenny90 | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | EscalateFund | $65,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 685d |  hooge | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,462 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | Stevenoz | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,581 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 685d | Dave96 | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,114 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 685d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,501 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Stephen01 | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,260 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Hoober | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,377 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Lokosm | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,289 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Ganby | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,754 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Lmestychko | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,074 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Koondas | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,336 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | worthboss | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | ruthgim | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | freedays | $110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,768 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 685d | moonnft | $110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,340 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 685d |  Kazantrip | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Yifan2 fills | $110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $413,856 | +$829 +0.2% | 2 |
| 685d |  Aurorax | $140,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,053 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d |  StingerT | $150,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,288 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | MiniCasdy | $110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,475 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 685d |  CryptioMan | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | $140,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 685d |  NERA | $110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,132 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 685d | ChrisShow | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d |  BB2020 | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,329 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Aazazrael | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,770 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Rainiak | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,567 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 685d | Buer | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,627 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d |  Abaddon | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,400 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d |  KatieSprygada1 | $60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,774 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | MAYOR-8672 fills | $110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,999 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 685d | Threadbare-Bond | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,211 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 685d | ItamarBleinad | $105,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,420 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 685d | MARS-degen | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,299 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Lick | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,000 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | fameis | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,888 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Care1 | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,666 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d |  Wife-152 | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,700 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d |  valentijine | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,700 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d |  lmeoww | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d |  meowinglion | $105,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,418 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 685d | apautrrytqstvohjkjhjsd | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,804 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | sduhfsdf | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,427 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 685d | Cat54 | $120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,052 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
mango0x19,978 sharesThis is a market group over which prices Bitcoin will hit between November 1, 12:00 AM ET, November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $105,000 means the market gives it about 0%.